曾成功预测马杜罗被捕地址投入6.54万美元,押注美伊五月前停火

Gate News 消息,3 月 19 日,据监测,在某预测市场平台上,过去一日内,一个此前成功预测马杜罗被捕的地址回归,投入 6.54 万美元买入「美伊是否会在五月前停火」中的「是」选项,目前该事件「是」的概率为 33%。

前国家反恐中心主任 Joe Kent 公开表示,他和其他高级官员对打击伊朗的担忧并没有被允许充分传达给特朗普,并因此辞职,美国内部的政策分歧正在变成公开政治压力。

特朗普公开强调,以色列袭击伊朗南帕尔斯气田时,美国和卡塔尔都没有参与,并警告伊朗不要再攻击卡塔尔;欧洲主要国家也拒绝更深卷入美国针对伊朗的军事行动,并倾向通过外交和非军事方式处理霍尔木兹问题。

注:根据其过往交易画像判断,该交易者并非押注事件是否实际发生,存在开仓后在某一时间点止盈、止损的行为。相关账户地址为 0x44de2a52d8d2d3ddcf39d58e315a10df53ba9c08,总投入 6.54 万美元。

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