Uber 早期投资人 Gurley:AI 泡沫重置将至,被压低的 SaaS 股票是机会

Gate News 消息,3 月 17 日,Benchmark 普通合伙人、Uber 早期投资人 Bill Gurley 周一表示,AI 浪潮是真实的,但大批人迅速致富后引来更多逐利者,「这就是泡沫的成因」,他预计一轮「重置」即将到来。Gurley 援引经济学者 Carlota Perez 理论指出,「泡沫只有在浪潮真实存在时才会出现」,建议投资者现在为被压低的 SaaS 股票设定目标价格,在重置到来时「大举买入」。AI 冲击已重创软件板块:Salesforce 和 ServiceNow 今年以来各下跌约 25%,追踪软件板块的 ETF(代码 IGV)年内跌幅约 20%。谈及 AI 公司巨额资本消耗,Gurley 以自己参与 Uber 时期每年 20 亿美元烧钱速度为参照,称那已让他「高度焦虑」,而如今头部模型公司烧钱规模远超当年。「上帝保佑他们,」Gurley 谈到 Anthropic 和 OpenAI 时说,「这种经营方式太吓人了。」亚马逊、Meta、谷歌和微软今年 AI 支出预计合计约 7000 亿美元。

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