为何比特币在全球冲突期间与华尔街脱钩?

BTC-0,48%

比特币7.3万美元创近一个月新高,而此时华尔街正因伊朗冲突动荡不安。Pantera Capital的Cosmo Jiang在CNBC采访中给出了解释。

经历10月抛售和此后数月调整,相对于长期趋势和良好基本面,比特币已处于严重超卖位置。这段时间黄金、白银和投机性零售股风光无限,比特币被市场遗忘。如今其他资产收紧,叠加此前的相对落后,反转动力开始释放。

更根本的原因是:比特币和数字资产一直都是无国界、不受主权约束的避险资产。地缘政治冲突发生时,区块链几乎不受影响——这正是投资者重新关注、并认为现在是入场点的逻辑所在。

与此同时,市场上也出现了大量避险动作,软件股下跌、昨天大幅回调。比特币上涨通常意味着风险偏好模式,两个信号目前形成明显矛盾。

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