最高法院裁决或引发超过1750亿美元的关税退税

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PANews 2月20日消息,宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿商学院预算模型经济学家周五表示,如果美国最高法院裁定特朗普总统实施的大规模紧急关税无效,超过1750亿美元的美国关税收入可能面临退还的风险。宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿商学院预算模型(PWBM)高级经济学家莱斯利·博勒表示,他们基于一个自下而上的预测模型得出了这一估计。该模型使用按产品和国家划分的关税税率,对特朗普实施的特定关税(包括根据《国际紧急经济权力法》(IEEPA)征收的关税)进行了分析。特朗普一直吹嘘关税带来的收入,国会预算办公室估计,未来十年每年将带来约3000亿美元的收入。但估算显示,如果法院判决特朗普败诉,可能需要退还相当一部分关税。1750亿美元的退款将超过交通部2025财年1276亿美元和司法部449亿美元的支出总额。

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