Odaily星球日报讯 “大空头”Michael Burry 表示，当前比特币下跌走势与 2022 年熊市阶段存在相似性，引发市场对本轮调整深度的讨论。Burry 在 X 平台发布图表，对比 BTC 自约 12.6 万美元高点跌至约 7 万美元 的走势，与 2021-2022 年熊市早期下跌节奏进行类比。上一轮周期中比特币曾从约 3.5 万美元 下跌至 2 万美元以下 才逐步企稳。若按相似跌幅比例测算，部分市场人士认为理论风险区间可能指向 5 万美元附近，而 Michael Burry 并未给出明确目标价位。市场也对单一历史周期类比的有效性提出质疑，有交易机构指出仅基于一次历史事件形成“模式”参考价值有限。当前市场环境与 2021-2022 年存在明显差异，包括现货比特币 ETF 带来的机构流动性、市场杠杆结构变化，以及宏观环境由激进加息周期转向跨资产波动主导。（CoinDesk）
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