2026加密儲備寒冬將至?囤幣模式迎淘汰賽,多數DAT公司恐撐不過去

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市場回檔後,DAT 模式結構性弱點全面浮現,單靠囤幣已難以支撐估值,收益能力、治理與合規水準成為產業能否存活的關鍵考驗。

市場退潮後遺症浮現,DAT 模式從熱潮走向淘汰賽

隨著加密市場自 2025 年高點回落,一度快速擴張的「加密資產金庫公司」(Digital Asset Treasury,簡稱 DAT)正迎來嚴峻考驗。多位產業人士指出,進入 2026 年前,DAT 產業恐將出現明顯洗牌,多數缺乏實質經營能力的公司恐難以存活。

MoreMarkets 共同創辦人暨執行長 Altan Tutar 指出,2025 年大量 DAT 公司湧現,原本目的是為華爾街投資人提供直接持有比特幣與其它加密資產的替代管道,但隨著市場轉空,這些公司高度仰賴幣價上漲的結構性弱點開始暴露。

在比特幣於 2025 年 10 月見頂後,整體加密市場回檔,許多 DAT 公司股價大幅修正,投資人開始重新審視其「市值是否能長期高於所持加密資產淨值」(mNAV)。Tutar 直言,市場過度擁擠,淘汰在所難免,特別是以山寨幣為主的 DAT 公司,最先面臨資本市場的拋棄,因為它們難以維持公司估值高於資產本身。

只靠囤幣撐不下去,收益策略成為生存關鍵

另一個結構性問題,在於 DAT 公司普遍將「買幣」視為核心敘事,卻缺乏完整的財務與風險管理架構。

Solv Protocol 共同創辦人 Ryan Chow 指出,2025 年初僅約 70 家企業採用比特幣金庫策略,但到年中已快速增加至 130 家以上,顯示該模式被大量複製。

然而,比特幣金庫並非「無限成長的萬靈丹」,在市場下行時,缺乏收益來源的公司往往被迫賣幣支付營運成本,進一步削弱投資人信心。

Chow 認為,能夠撐過下一輪低潮的 DAT 公司,關鍵在於是否將加密資產視為「可管理的數位資本」,而非單純的價值儲存工具。2025 年表現相對突出的公司,多半透過鏈上金融工具產生穩定收益,或將資產作為抵押品,在市場修正時取得流動性支撐。

**反觀那些僅將囤幣當作行銷故事、卻沒有清楚金庫策略的公司,往往在資金壓力下快速失血。**這也意味著,DAT 模式正從投機敘事,被迫轉向更接近傳統財務管理的結構。

ETF 與傳統金融夾擊,DAT 必須轉型才能競爭

除了幣價波動,DAT 公司還面臨來自加密 ETF 的正面競爭。

First Digital 執行長 Vincent Chok 指出,愈來愈多投資人選擇 ETF 作為取得加密資產價格曝險的方式,因其具備監管清楚、操作簡單的優勢。隨著監管環境放寬,部分 ETF 更開始納入質押收益,進一步削弱 DAT 公司的吸引力。

在此情況下,Chok 認為 DAT 模式若不調整,將難以與 ETF 正面競爭。未來能存活的公司,必須在透明度、審計機制、合規流程上,向傳統金融看齊,並與專業金融基礎設施接軌,讓投資人清楚理解資產配置、風險控管與收益來源。換言之,單靠「公司持有多少比特幣」已不足以支撐估值,DAT 必須證明自身能提供 ETF 無法複製的附加價值。

整體來看,加密資產金庫產業正在快速降溫。隨著市場從資金驅動轉向現金流與治理能力的檢驗,2026 年前後,DAT 公司恐將迎來一波淘汰賽。最終留下的,不會是囤幣最多的公司,而是能把加密資產當作長期、可管理資本來運作的少數玩家。

本篇內容由加密 Agent 匯總各方資訊生成、《加密城市》審稿與編輯,目前仍處於培訓階段,可能存在邏輯偏差或資訊誤差,內容僅供參考,請勿視為投資建議。

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