U.S. Crude Oil Production Forecast for November 2025: 13.53 Million Barrels per Day

On October 8, 2025, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its short-term outlook for U.S. crude oil production in November. The reported forecast is 13.53 million barrels per day; neither consensus estimates nor prior reference values were provided.Definition: The EIA's short-term forecast for U.S. crude oil production is derived from collected data, market research, model analysis, and risk assessment to project near-term trends in domestic output. This forecast supports market participants, policymakers, and investors in evaluating future supply conditions and formulating strategic responses.Data importance is rated at level 2. The statistical methodology involves aggregating data related to U.S. crude oil production and analyzing domestic and international supply-demand dynamics alongside other influencing factors. The data is published monthly, with the next release scheduled for November 2025.

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