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Hong Kong, March 24, 8:22 PM ETH Analysis
Three-cycle resonance state: large cycle bearish + mid-cycle resistance + small-cycle unclear direction = short-term bullish within a broader bearish pattern, approaching resistance zone, awaiting PCE data to confirm the trend.
ETH upper resistance levels
2185 ———— 2205 ———— 2255
Key observation: The overall probability of breaking through resistance levels is low, consistent with the broader context that "the bearish structure has not yet reversed."
ETH lower support levels
2121 ———— 2100 ———— 2080
Breakdown recursive logic: Each lower level requires stronger bearish momentum to drive it down, with the probability decreasing exponentially.
Reference short position: around 2205
Reference long position: around 2100
Stop loss depends on individual risk tolerance.
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According to reports, at least one of the nine vessels that passed through, a ship named Bright Gold, is Chinese-flagged and has successfully transited.