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The four-year cycle, which some questioned, remains unchanged and has proven its accuracy.
Bitcoin is currently in a 52-week downtrend, of which only 21 weeks have passed, leaving 31 weeks until it reaches the cycle's bottom. The percentage drop from the peak to the trough ranges between 70% and 80% from the all-time high of $126,000. If the target drop is 70%, which is a moderate to low probability, the target is $37,000. If the drop is 80%, which is more likely, the target remains around $24,000.
After that, a 152-week upward trend is expected. All of this will be negated if Bitcoin breaks through its peak and records a historic high above $126,000, which is now a weak possibility.
Therefore, I expect a bull trap and a corrective upward move, which I see as an opportunity to exit and wait until the end of 2026. November to January will be the best time to enter Bitcoin, God willing. And God knows best.
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