在即將到來的 12 月 10 日美聯儲 FOMC 會議上，市場普遍預期將降息 25 個基點，將利率區間調整至 3.50%—3.75%。當前降息機率高達 87.2%，若如期降息，風險資產可能獲得提振，加密市場或迎來短線反彈。但若出現鷹派意外，則可能抑制資金流入，尤其是在比特幣近 90 天累計下跌 20% 的背景下。
在政策預期驅動下，市場分析重點指出三種可能受益於降息的山寨幣：FARTCOIN、比特幣現金（BCH）與 Double Zero（2Z）。
FARTCOIN 上週表現亮眼，在整體市場疲軟中錄得 32% 的周漲幅，目前交易區間維持在 0.404 美元附近。RSI 位於中性線之上，顯示買盤動能依然穩健。若情緒進一步改善，FARTCOIN 有望突破 0.417 美元並嘗試衝擊 0.470 美元。但若降息未能推動市場反彈或情緒轉弱，價格可能跌破 0.358 美元，並回探 0.320 美元至 0.280 美元區間。
比特幣現金（BCH）同樣表現堅挺，上週上漲約 11%。作為比特幣生態的主要分支資產，其價格往往與 BTC 強相關，因此 BTC 的政策驅動反彈可能直接帶動 BCH。Parabolic SAR 指標顯示上漲趨勢完好，若能穩固 593 美元支撐區間，BCH 可能進一步上漲至 624 美元。但若獲利盤湧現並跌破關鍵支撐，其價格可能快速回落至 555 美元。
Double Zero（2Z）也在市場升溫中錄得 21% 周漲幅，並躋身前 100 加密資產。目前 2Z 價格為 0.1382 美元，接近 0.1433 美元阻力位。MACD 顯示上行動能增強，若降息帶來更強市場買盤，2Z 有機會突破阻力並上探 0.1581 美元。但若情緒轉弱，價格可能回落至 0.1296 美元甚至 0.1199 美元。
隨著市場進一步押注美聯儲政策轉向，短期資金或將在利率決議前後加速流向波動性更強的山寨幣，而以上三種代幣因技術面與市場情緒改善的疊加，正成為交易員重點關注的資產。（BeinCrypto）
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