On March 7th, Jinshi data, Henry Cook, a European economist at Mitsubishi UFJ, said that after a huge change in German fiscal policy, the European Central Bank may be more cautious in pushing the Interest Rate into a looser range. The Interest Rate is now close to the highest estimate of neutrality, possibly around 2%. The development of the situation in Germany this week will certainly strengthen the hawks’ resistance to the Interest Rate falling below this level.
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