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🚨 Global interest rate landscape exposed! The United States may cut interest rates 2 times, and market sentiment is quietly changing
A well-known investment bank, Nomura, has pointed out in its latest macro research report that the policy paths of major global central banks are gradually becoming clear:
📊 Interest rate expectations for major central banks in 2026:
• Federal Reserve (United States)
Expected to cut interest rates 2 times
• European Central Bank
Expected to keep interest rates unchanged
• Bank of England
Expected to keep interest rates unchanged
• Reserve Bank of India
Expected to keep interest rates unchanged
• Bank of Korea
Expected to keep interest rates unchanged
• Reserve Bank of Australia
Possible to raise interest rates 1 time
• Bank of Japan
Expected to raise interest rates 2 times (but at a slower pace)
🌍 In terms of geopolitics
The United States and Iran are currently maintaining a fragile ceasefire, which to a certain extent eases the market’s risk sentiment.
However, the problem has not really been resolved.
Because the gap between the two sides’ core demands is still very large, the market generally believes that truly reaching an agreement may still take several weeks or even several months.
In the meantime, one of the world’s energy lifelines—the
Strait of Hormuz
may still remain under a basic blockade or in a state of high tension.
💡 What does this mean for the crypto market?
The macro environment often affects where money flows:
• Increased rate-cut expectations → liquidity may return to the market
• Geopolitical conflict easing → risk-asset sentiment improves
When global liquidity conditions gradually become looser, assets such as Bitcoin are often brought back into focus.
🌱 A message for all investors:
Real big opportunities are never something that suddenly appears.
They are often the result of macro trends, capital flows, and market sentiment working together.
Those who understand the big picture
often manage to stand in the right position
before the market truly takes off. 🚀