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Bitcoins four year cycle is real, but most people misread it.
I'll explain.
the halving cycle isn't a price calendar. it's a supply shock mechanism. every four years, the rate of new bitcoin entering circulation drops by half. miners get squeezed. selling pressure from new supply drops. if demand holds or grows, price adjusts upward.
what most retail traders get wrong: they time the top of the cycle perfectly and miss the accumulation phase entirely. they buy the headline, not the mechanism.
institutional buyers such as blackrock, fidelity, strategy has been accumulating through the boring phases and it's not because they have better charts. because they understand that a fixed-supply asset in a world of expanding money supply is a structural long, not a trading vehicle.
the cycle is real. the opportunity is in understanding why, not just when.
#BTC