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#Gate广场四月发帖挑战
The US CPI (inflation data) is now the most critical macro indicator affecting Bitcoin's short-term movement. Simply put, it determines whether the money in the market is increasing or decreasing, directly impacting your holdings' profit and loss.
📉 Core logic: Data determines rise or fall
CPI data influences Bitcoin by affecting the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations:
Below or in line with expectations: The market believes inflation is under control, and the Fed is likely to cut rates. Money becomes "cheaper," and funds tend to flow into high-risk assets like Bitcoin, often causing a sharp short-term surge in price.
Above expectations: The market worries about rate hikes or delayed rate cuts. Money tightens, investors sell off Bitcoin for safety, often leading to a sharp short-term drop in price.
⚡️ Market performance characteristics
React very quickly: At the moment of data release (usually 20:30 Beijing time), Bitcoin often experiences violent fluctuations with a 1.5% or more surge or plunge within 1 minute, followed by stabilization.
Focus on core CPI: Compared to surface data, the "core CPI" excluding energy and food better reflects the true inflation trend and has greater significance for market direction.
🛡️ Trading response strategies
Since tonight (April 1