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#特朗普再下最后通牒 Trump’s final ultimatum expires tonight; Iran refuses to cease fire, and oil prices are nearing $120
🔮 April 7 (future): Trump’s deadline for the final ultimatum in the Strait of Hormuz will expire in the early morning of April 8 Beijing time (April 7, 20:00 Eastern Time). If Iran does not reopen the strait, the U.S. threatens to carry out a comprehensive strike on Iran’s civilian infrastructure, and the situation faces a major escalation turning point.
Market impact🛢️
Brent crude closed at $110.13 per barrel (up 1.01% day-on-day), while WTI was at $113.6 (up 1.85% day-on-day); earlier, Brent briefly touched $119, approaching the highest level since the outbreak of conflict.
🛡️ Safe-haven assets
Spot gold was $4,681 per ounce (up 0.63% day-on-day, with a five-day cumulative gain of 4.21%). Ongoing safe-haven demand continues to push it higher; the U.S. Dollar Index is basically flat at 100.02, with safe-haven attributes offset by inflation concerns.
🔮 Short-term outlook
Tonight’s expiration of the Strait of Hormuz ultimatum is the biggest variable in the short term. If talks break down and strikes on civilian facilities escalate, oil prices may break above $120, and safe-haven assets may strengthen further.