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Arthur Hayes: Bitcoin may drop below $60k before rising to $250k
Mars Finance news: Arthur Hayes said on the Coin Stories podcast that he will not put the last dollar into Bitcoin for now, because the Federal Reserve has not yet been forced to expand liquidity. Arthur Hayes believes that tariff policies will lead to inflation and may prompt the U.S. to shift toward capital controls, which would become a massive liquidity catalyst for Bitcoin. Arthur Hayes keeps his long-term target price range for Bitcoin in this cycle between $250k and $750k, but warns that if the U.S.-Iran conflict continues, Bitcoin could fall below $60k in the short term. In addition, Charles Schwab confirmed that in the first half of 2026 it will launch direct spot trading in Bitcoin and Ethereum through new accounts. Research by Mercado Bitcoin shows that within 60 days after major global shocks, Bitcoin has consistently outperformed gold and the S&P 500 index. Currently, the price of Bitcoin has rebounded to around $67,300, while the Crypto Fear and Greed Index has been in an extreme fear range for several consecutive weeks.