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#BTC One day before the 3.17 high, how did the Polymarket price estimator price it?
#3.16 At noon, data estimated the probability of touching 75000 as high as 73%, and subsequently broke through.
From the estimates at that time, the probability of 75000 being maintained at close was only 40%, so it was insufficient to support continued market momentum, thus the high point was evident.
Scientific methods enable scientific judgments.
Subjective speculation, gambling judgments, lead to gambling outcomes.