On-chain data analyst Murphy posted on social media that Bitcoin's short-term swing signal "BRS" has started to change after remaining unchanged for nearly a month.


Murphy explained that the BRS "rebound capture" method is simple: when BRS=100, it is a buy point; when BRS returns to 0, it is a sell point, using this as a trading swing.
Historically, this signal has been observed 11 times between 2018 and 2022, with 9 successes and 2 failures, resulting in an overall historical success rate of approximately 81.8%, indicating high effectiveness in historical samples.
The BRS indicator reached 100 again on February 2, 2026, when Bitcoin was priced at $75,000. Therefore, when BRS returns to 0, Bitcoin's price should be at least above $75,000 for the signal to be considered successfully triggered.
After maintaining at 100 for a full month, the BRS finally started to move away from 100 toward the 0 axis.
It should be noted that this signal is only valuable for rebound trading and traders looking to reduce their positions.
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