#Circle&NvidiaEarningsAhead

#Circle&NvidiaEarningsAhead
As of February 25, 2026 (mid-day market data, post-Circle release and pre-Nvidia after-close), Circle Internet Group (NYSE: CRCL) has reported its Q4 2025 earnings this morning, while Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) prepares to drop its Q4 FY2026 results after the bell. This high-stakes earnings day spotlights AI dominance, stablecoin resilience, and cross-market impacts amid rate dynamics, geopolitical factors, and tech/crypto convergence.
Circle Q4 2025 Earnings Live: USDC Circulation Hits $74.9B Amid Rate Headwinds – Can Payments Pivot Deliver?
Circle released results pre-market, with consensus pointing to EPS around $0.15–$0.35 (down from Q3's strong $0.64 beat) and revenue near $749M (up YoY). Pressure from lower Treasury yields on reserve income is offset by USDC growth and payments expansion.
Nvidia Q4 FY2026 Earnings Preview: $65B+ Revenue Expected as AI Supercycle Faces First Major Test
Nvidia's report (after close) carries massive expectations: consensus EPS ~$1.50–$1.53 (up ~70%+ YoY), revenue ~$65–$66B (driven by Data Center/Blackwell). Guidance for Q1 FY2027 could target $72B+, testing AI demand sustainability.
Circle Stock (CRCL) Eyes Volatility: Consensus EPS $0.15–$0.35 on $749M Revenue – Down Sharply from Q3 Beat
Nvidia (NVDA) Poised for Another Beat? Wall Street Watches for Blackwell Momentum and Guidance Above $72B
Nvidia (NVDA) Earnings: Latest Expectations and Market Positioning
Expected Financials: Revenue consensus ~$65–$66B (up significantly YoY), EPS $1.50–$1.53. Data Center segment projected ~$60B+, with Blackwell ramp-up key.
Current Stock Price and Percentage Changes: Closed February 24 at $192.85 (+0.68% daily). YTD up ~52% from lows but tepid 2026 performance vs. prior years; high beta signals potential 5–10% swings post-earnings.
Trading Volume and Liquidity Metrics: Recent volume ~175M shares (above average). Market cap ~$4.66T with strong liquidity and elevated implied volatility.
Historical Timeline: Consistent beats; shares doubled+ from lows, fueled by AI supercycle despite China revenue zero due to restrictions.
USDC Surges to $74.6–$74.9B Circulation in February 2026 – Doubling YoY Despite Tether Dominance
USDC remains fully backed (~$74.9B reserves), with strong onchain volume and adoption driving Circle's narrative.
Circle (CRCL) Earnings: Latest Expectations and Market Positioning
Expected/Recent Financials: EPS $0.15–$0.35 range, revenue ~$749M. Q3 beat was strong, but Q4 faces yield compression; payments network growth eyed as offset.
Current Stock Price and Percentage Changes: Closed February 24 at $61.37 (+0.33%). Down ~79% from highs; analyst targets suggest upside on positive pivot updates.
Trading Volume and Liquidity Metrics: Volume ~8M shares (below average). Market cap ~$15.6B; high implied volatility (~132%) points to ±10%+ moves.
USDC-Specific Metrics: Circulation $74.6–$74.9B (up ~5% MoM, 113%+ YoY). Market share ~25–28%; robust liquidity and trading volumes.
Dual Tech/Crypto Spotlight: Nvidia AI Strength Meets Circle Stablecoin Resilience in High-Stakes Earnings Day
Deeper Reasons and Market Implications
Nvidia hedges via AI leadership and diversification; Circle via stablecoin utility beyond rates. Nvidia beats could boost Nasdaq 1–2%; Circle strength enhances crypto liquidity (USDC pivotal for volumes). Misses risk volatility—AI slowdown signals or stablecoin pressure.
Quick Summary & Forward Outlook
Headlines Recap: Circle's USDC boom vs. rate challenges; Nvidia's AI test with massive expectations.
Core Drivers: Diversification, geopolitical hedging, AI/crypto convergence.
Watch: Post-earnings price/volume reactions, guidance, cross-market flows (potential 5–15% swings).