$BTC Signal】Two-way Order Book Battle! 1H Oversold Rebound vs 4H Downtrend Continuation, Waiting for Direction Choice



$BTC The 1H timeframe is oscillating narrowly between 64000-64900, with RSI(35) near oversold levels, indicating a technical rebound demand. However, the 4H timeframe has broken below EMA20(66415) and EMA50(67221), with the overall trend leaning bearish, currently in a weak correction after a decline. Market depth shows buy orders accumulating around 64650, but selling pressure above is also heavy, indicating a stalemate between bulls and bears. Open interest remains stable with no signs of panic selling, suggesting that major players are waiting for a clear direction.

🎯Direction: Wait and see (Two-way Order Book )

⚡Order Strategy 1 (Long): If the price stabilizes and breaks above 64900, go long. Reason: Breakout of the 1H oscillation upper boundary and dense trading zone, confirming short-term rebound momentum.

⚡Order Strategy 2 (Long): If the price pulls back to the 63860-64050 area, add long positions. Reason: Rebound from strong support at previous lows and potential double bottom structure on the 1H timeframe.

⚡Order Strategy 3 (Short): If the price effectively breaks below 63860, go short. Reason: Breaks key support, confirming continuation of the 4H downtrend.

🛑Stop Loss (Long): 63500. Reason: Break below previous lows and potential double bottom, bears regain control.

🛑Stop Loss (Short): 65200. Reason: Breakout of the 1H oscillation zone and above EMA20_1H(65263), invalidating short-term bearish logic.

🚀Target 1 (Long): 65800. Reason: Starting point of the previous 4H decline and resistance near EMA20_1H.

🚀Target 2 (Long): 66500. Reason: Strong resistance at the 4H EMA20.

🚀Target 1 (Short): 63000. Reason: Psychological support at previous lows and downside target based on ATR measurement.

🚀Target 2 (Short): 62000. Reason: Support zone further below on the daily chart.

🛡️Trading Management:

- Position suggestion: Light position. Reason: The trend is unclear, representing a left-side game with higher risk.

- Execution strategy: When any order is triggered, if the price moves favorably, reduce position by 50% at Target 1 and move stop loss to entry price. If the price hits the stop loss in the opposite direction, exit decisively. Only one of the three orders will trigger; do not open multiple positions.

Depth logic: Current market logic indicates “price falling but open interest stable,” which resembles long leverage liquidation rather than major players offloading. The 1H RSI shows a bottom divergence pattern, but confirmation from price is needed. The depth imbalance at 88.26% suggests stronger buying willingness, but the sell wall at 64650-64700 is a short-term key resistance. The core strategy is to abandon prediction, using conditional orders to capture market direction. Whether breaking upward or downward, plans are in place.

View real-time quotes 👇 $BTC

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