First, strong employment data boosts interest rate expectations, putting downward pressure on silver’s financial attributes. Second, industrial demand expectations have not yet noticeably weakened, making silver prices more resilient relative to gold, but with more pronounced high volatility characteristics. Third, Shanghai silver remains relatively strong, indicating that the domestic and international market structures have not fully weakened, but capital battles have clearly intensified. If the US dollar and yields remain strong, silver price volatility will stay high; if subsequent macroeconomic data weaken again, silver still has room for recovery within the framework of “interest rate cuts + risk hedging.”
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
CITIC Futures: Silver's Financial Attributes Under Pressure, Structural Divergence Continues
First, strong employment data boosts interest rate expectations, putting downward pressure on silver’s financial attributes. Second, industrial demand expectations have not yet noticeably weakened, making silver prices more resilient relative to gold, but with more pronounced high volatility characteristics. Third, Shanghai silver remains relatively strong, indicating that the domestic and international market structures have not fully weakened, but capital battles have clearly intensified. If the US dollar and yields remain strong, silver price volatility will stay high; if subsequent macroeconomic data weaken again, silver still has room for recovery within the framework of “interest rate cuts + risk hedging.”