The Last Supper of the Rebound — Beware of Shorting Opportunities in the Bear Market Trap

Market momentum has begun, and all market participants can feel it. According to the latest data, after breaking through the $60,000 level, Bitcoin’s current price has rebounded to $67.96K, with a clear daily rebound. This wave of rebound targets around $75,000, seeming like a positive signal. But investors familiar with market cycles know well—this could be the last supper for the fleeing bears, and also the golden window for savvy traders to set up short positions for the next move down.

The True Signal Behind the Rebound—Strength Is Risk

On the surface, the rebound appears as a normal market correction. But the real danger signals lie in the divergence of coin performances.

Looking at current market data (as of February 22, 2026):

• BTC: $67.96K, 24h change -0.35%
• BCH: $570.19, 24h change +0.30%
• TRX: $0.29, 24h change +0.96%
• LINK: $8.77, 24h change -1.88%
• DOT: $1.32, 24h change -3.85%
• UNI: $3.51, 24h change -3.27%

The larger-cap coins like BCH and TRX, which have smaller declines than BTC, are performing relatively resilient. This might seem like strength. But this is the biggest trap: their “resistance” is not due to strong fundamentals but because, in a liquidity drought, the liquidation sequence has yet to reach them. In other words, the last supper is imminent—they’ve just temporarily avoided the first wave of decline.

Warning on Resilient Coins—The Worst Comes When the Tide Recedes

In a bear market, temporary strength often signals upcoming further declines. The coins that have shown the most exaggerated gains during the rebound are precisely the ones most likely to become targets in the next downward wave (the C wave in technical terms).

Key warning list:

• BCH (Bitcoin Cash): Although today’s gain is +0.30%, its historical high remains far away.
• TRX (Tron): Today’s gain +0.96%, but the fundamental story no longer supports it.
• LINK, DOT, UNI: These projects seem “fundamentally solid,” but in a liquidity-depleted environment, surface prosperity cannot hide underlying weakness.

The height of the rebound is the measure for shorting. The more intense and unjustified the rebound, the larger the space for the next decline. In the last supper of the bear market, the strongest are not the future winners but the pre-set losers.

Market Deployment Strategy—Waiting for the Real Opportunity

Faced with this market pattern, rational traders need to calmly execute two key steps:

Step 1: Observe Dispassionately
Set aside emotions, objectively record each coin’s rebound high. Don’t be fooled by short-term gains; every rebound high is a reference point for future shorts. Monitoring the movements of “resilient” coins like BCH and TRX is especially important—they will be the main focus in the next shorting cycle.

Step 2: Prepare Your Ammo
Have sufficient trading funds ready, but don’t rush to act. The key is to enter precisely when Bitcoin’s rebound wanes and the trend shifts back down. This is not gambling but a rational decision based on market liquidity, liquidation sequences, and technical analysis.

The Last Supper: Recognizing Traps and Opportunities

The most cunning trap in a bear market is making participants believe the bull has returned during a rebound. Savvy market players have long prepared, setting their “tombstones” in advance while everyone celebrates.

This rebound is essentially the market’s final supper. For bulls, it’s the last escape opportunity; for bears, the most precise setup window. The more extreme the rebound, the clearer the shorting signals.

The key is to stay alert: don’t be fooled by the surface of the rebound, don’t be swayed by short-term gains, but use calm logic and ample funds to wait for the market to transition from peak to trough. That’s when precise shorting will truly pay off.