The idea that a war with Iran is “inevitable” is mostly narrative — not confirmed reality.

Yes, the U.S. Supreme Court ruling against Trump’s global tariffs was framed as a political setback. Markets briefly reacted, but structurally little changed since alternative tariff tools still exist and legal battles take years.
The bigger angle people are pushing is political pressure:
Court pushback = perceived weakness
Elections approaching
Incentive to chase quick “wins” to regain momentum
That’s why Iran is being mentioned again in geopolitical chatter.
But here’s the key:
Political pressure ≠ automatic war.
Military conflict is costly, globally destabilizing, and heavily constrained by international, economic, and defense considerations. Escalation risk may rise during politically tense periods, but “inevitable” is a strong word.
For markets:
Geopolitical headlines = volatility spikes
Oil, gold, and crypto react fast
Weekend headlines can amplify moves (especially in 24/7 markets like crypto)
Bottom line: Expect volatility, not certainty.
Position for risk — don’t trade based on fear narratives.