How to predict the trend of A-shares a few days before the market opens after a long holiday?

Is it based on each teacher’s historical statistics, indicating more gains and fewer declines after long holidays?

Or is it based on probability theory, with an equal chance of rise or fall?

Or perhaps using the performance of foreign markets and Hong Kong stocks during the holiday as a reference? (Of course, this might only be useful for the first day’s trend)

Or maybe all predictions are just mysticism, changing every time, and only in hindsight do we realize?

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