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✨In the US, shelter inflation continues to be one of the heaviest and most persistent components of the Consumer Price Index (CPI). According to January 2026 data (published by BLS on February 13, 2026), the shelter category played a significant role in the overall downward trend in inflation, but it still remains above overall inflation.
✨These values show that despite shelter costs converging towards their lowest levels in four years, they are still well above the Fed's 2% target.
✨Shelter is the single largest component of the core CPI → even a 3% annual increase played a key role in bringing core inflation down to 2.5%. If shelter inflation remains in the 2.5-3% range, overall core inflation may not reach the Fed's target of 2% until the end of 2026 or the beginning of 2027. Services inflation (excluding shelter) is still around 3% → stickiness persists due to wage increases and other service costs. ✨Housing remains the "last bastion of inflation". The slowdown is positive, but for lasting disinflation, monthly increases need to fall to the 0.1-0.15% range.
#USCoreCPIHitsFour-YearLow
In the US, core CPI, excluding food and energy, fell to 2.5% annually according to January 2026 data. This is the lowest level seen since March 2021 and a low in approximately four years.
According to the US Department of Labor (BLS) report released on February 13, 2026:
Headline CPI increased by 2.4% annually (expected to be around 2.5%, compared to 2.7% in December).
Core CPI increased by 0.3% monthly, while falling to 2.5% annually (from 2.6% in the previous month).
This decrease was driven by a slowdown in housing costs, a decline in energy prices (gasoline -3.2%), and limited increases in some staple food items.
Markets reacted positively to this data; it was interpreted as a signal that the Fed is approaching its 2% target. Some analysts note that despite the data being released late due to the government shutdown, inflation has cooled, creating room for interest rate cuts. However, housing and services inflation remain relatively high.