The most common paths to sudden wealth in the real world are almost all surviving examples of this formula: extremely asymmetric opportunities × extreme execution × luck/opportunity
1. Pure luck type (lowest probability but most dazzling): lottery/air coin hitting 10x at launch/Polymarket 16 consecutive wins/demolition payout of 8 houses Formula: zero cognition × very low-cost all-in × extremely low probability events 2. Dividend window type (most common in the past 20 years)
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The most common paths to sudden wealth in the real world are almost all surviving examples of this formula: extremely asymmetric opportunities × extreme execution × luck/opportunity
1. Pure luck type (lowest probability but most dazzling): lottery/air coin hitting 10x at launch/Polymarket 16 consecutive wins/demolition payout of 8 houses
Formula: zero cognition × very low-cost all-in × extremely low probability events
2. Dividend window type (most common in the past 20 years)