Topic of action: A short-term rebound is likely if support is maintained. The probability of growth is 60% compared to a 40% chance of decline. If the price breaks below 76,700, an upward move toward 82,600 is possible; if it falls below 73,500, there is an increased risk of a deeper decline to 70,000. $BTC

Bullish scenario: The ETF showed a reversal to positive inflows of (4.2 billion USD, transferring over 1,300 BTC to cold wallets, which reduces selling pressure. The MACD is forming a golden cross, and the KDJ indicates acceleration upward.
**Short-term long 📈**
Entry: 76,700 USDT )
Position: 30% (
Stop: 73,500 USDT
Target: 82,637 USDT

*Image: Chart showing bullish reversal with increasing inflows*

Bearish scenario: Continued institutional outflows from ETFs of over 13.5 billion USD last week, combined with dollar strength, could intensify the decline to the 74,000–71,700 zone. The RSI is falling below 50, and the volume of sales exceeds purchases.
**Short-term short 📉**
Entry: 79,000 USDT
Stop: 81,000 USDT
Target: 74,000 USDT

*Image: Chart indicating downward momentum with high sell volume*

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