#ETH承压期 Ethereum (ETH) is currently in a volatile and weak phase, with overall market sentiment extremely panicked. Short-term fluctuations are intense, and major holders are showing signs of capital outflow. Regarding daily contract operations, it is recommended to adopt a cautious approach with controlled positions, focusing on support and resistance zones, and avoiding chasing highs or selling lows.

Price fluctuates significantly within the range of 2,157 – 2,395 USDT intraday, with short-term volume and price declining simultaneously. On an hourly basis, volume increases while price drops, indicating capital outflow. The MACD shows a short-term golden cross, slightly strengthening the bullish trend, but on a larger cycle, the RSI is overbought, indicating higher risk of a pullback.

On the news front, large ETH holders (such as Bitmine) have incurred significant unrealized losses, causing panic over short-term selling pressure. Additionally, large holders are increasing their positions but liquidity is insufficient, highlighting liquidation risks. Overall, ETH is in a high-risk volatile period in the short term; chasing rallies is not advisable, and it’s best to wait for a clearer trend.

Contract Strategy Plan
Long Position Strategy
Aggressive Short-term: Buy on two points: 1️⃣ 2300 and 2️⃣ 2210. If the price retraces and does not break below, consider short-term long positions (with around 20 points profit, reduce positions for defense and maintain residual positions).
Conservative Layout: Wait for a retracement near yesterday’s low of 2160, find a suitable entry point, operate flexibly, and strictly set stop-losses (to prevent losses).

Short Position Strategy

I personally prefer to go long mainly; those interested in short positions can set stop-losses to catch a correction.
If the rebound around 2450 cannot break through, consider entering with a small position and a stop-loss. As above, reduce positions to lock in profits and set stop-losses, maintaining residual positions.

⚠️ Risk Advice
The current market is extremely panicked, with frequent liquidation events. The market can reverse suddenly, so it is strongly recommended to set stop-losses to prevent extreme movements.
During high volatility periods, try small trial trades with contracts, operate in batches, and pay close attention to market sentiment and trading volume changes.
Avoid chasing highs or entering heavily during sharp fluctuations to prevent forced stop-losses.
News and public opinion are complex; always judge rationally and avoid blindly following market hot topics.
The above strategies are purely based on personal subjective experience and judgment, and do not constitute investment advice. They are for reference only.