#2026 Crypto Flag

Starting with a small amount in the primary market — for example $10,000 — don’t think about flipping it immediately.
Most people make a deadly mistake from day one:
They treat $10,000 as one single chance, instead of 20–50 chances.

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1) What’s the real win-rate in the primary market?

Projects that can truly reach $5–10M+ market cap: only 5%–10%

Projects that can deliver 2–3x returns: around 15%–20%

The majority either slowly die, or go straight to a rug pull / zero

Meaning:
You’re not picking a “guaranteed winner.”
You’re betting on a probability distribution.

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2) The golden rule of position sizing

In primary projects, your position per trade should never exceed 1%–3% of your total funds.

People who invest “thousands” often have a much bigger portfolio — those thousands might be less than 1% of their total capital.
Don’t copy others just by looking at the amount.

Example with $10,000:

Aggressive: $500 per trade (5%)

Conservative: $200–300 per trade (2%–3%)

And every trade must have a strict stop-loss.

Because in the primary market, losses are not -10%…
Losses are often -50% to -90%, and sometimes straight to zero.

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3) If your goal is “to flip,” you lose control

The “flip mindset” will distort your trading from the start.

Someone posts a signal on Twitter → you increase your position
Price dips → you buy more
It dips again → you buy more
And in the end, your entire capital gets locked into one coin.

Once that happens… your risk is already out of control.

Flipping is possible — but it should never be the starting goal.
It only happens after you have:

a stable win rate

proper diversification

the ability to accept mistakes

“People who start with the goal of flipping often don’t even survive the next round.”

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4) What veteran players really focus on

They don’t ask: “Will this coin flip my money?”
They ask:

1. Is this a reasonable bet?

2. If it fails, will it damage my main capital?

3. After this trade, can I stay at the table and keep trading?

The biggest danger of the primary market is this:
It doesn’t give you time to slowly correct mistakes.
When you finally realize something is wrong — it’s often already too late to exit.

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5) Avoid new listings (especially with small funds)

New listings create the illusion of huge upside and big multiples, but in reality, they are pure gambling.

For small funds, new listings are not opportunities — they are the highest-cost mistakes.

One wrong judgment =
Rug / zero instantly, and sometimes you don’t even get a chance to set a stop-loss.

People only see the cases where someone made 10x–50x…
They don’t see the many listings that went straight to zero.

New listings are only suitable for two types of people:

1. Those with extremely strong information sources

2. Those with enough capital to survive multiple zero-outs