#MyFirstPostOnSquare Daily Hotspot Overview, stay for 3 minutes, add an extra layer of insurance for future investments. There is a cash Q&A reward later.

【Market Debate Final Review Brief】

Six core viewpoints:

1. Performance Camp: US stocks closed lower last night, but crypto concept stocks rose against the trend, indicating the market may be re-evaluating the independence of crypto assets.
2. Policy Camp: The Federal Reserve emphasizes policy independence, likely to pause rate cuts in January, and tightening liquidity will pressure all assets.
3. Entry Camp: Visa is actively promoting stablecoins integrated into global payments, with an annualized settlement scale reaching $45 billion, traditional giants voting with real money.
4. Outlook Camp: Federal Reserve officials are optimistic about the economic outlook; steady growth is the long-term foundation for risk assets.
5. Prediction Camp: JPMorgan forecasts that institutional funds will continue to flow into and dominate the crypto market through 2026.
6. Game Theory Camp: Coinbase publicly opposes the Senate crypto bill, which may impact legislative progress; regulatory benefits might be delayed.

【Evidence Chain and Credibility Assessment】

* Golden Fact (A): “US stocks down, crypto stocks up” is an established market fact, suggesting crypto assets may be decoupling from traditional risk assets, a strong signal.
* Gray Constraint (B): “Fed may not cut rates in January” is a highly credible macro path, defining the short-term environment of “no liquidity,” a threshold that optimistic narratives must cross.
* Blue Ironclad Evidence (C): “Visa’s $45 billion annualized settlement” is an irreversible, large-scale commercial fact led by traditional payment giants, a cornerstone for long-term optimism.
* Orange Double-Edged Sword (D): “Economic outlook optimistic” has complex effects, potentially benefiting corporate profits while prolonging high interest rates; judgment requires combining other evidence.
* Green Long-term Check (E): “Institutional dominance by 2026” is a promising long-term forecast, boosting confidence but insufficient for short-term price support.
* Red Distraction (F): “Coinbase opposes the bill” is normal legislative game-playing, bringing short-term uncertainty but not changing the long-term trend of regulation inevitable.

【Jury’s Three-Step Verdict Method】

1. Trust hard facts: Must acknowledge the breakthrough of “market decoupling signals” (A) and accept the reality of “macro liquidity constraints” (B). This is the baseline for decision-making.
2. Weight core variables: Assign high weight to “Visa stablecoin settlement” (C), which is the anchor of value injection. Rationally view “regulatory game” (F), as part of development pains that do not alter the long-term trend.
3. Filter noise: Temporarily set aside the complex “economic outlook” (D), and use “long-term forecasts” (E) only to support long-term faith, not as short-term trading basis.

Summary: Trust facts, acknowledge constraints, focus on infrastructure, and tone down noise. Grasp one or two ironclad proofs rather than being led by all viewpoints.

【Final Interaction and Rewards】

* Quick Q&A Lottery: Answer in the comments — which piece of evidence describes an irreversible commercial fact led by traditional giants that has already occurred? Pop quiz: among today’s six pieces of evidence, which one describes a large-scale, irreversible commercial fact led by traditional world giants?

A. US stocks down, crypto concept stocks up

B. Visa promotes stablecoin integration into payments, with $45 billion annualized settlement

C. JPMorgan forecasts institutional funds will dominate by 2026

Answer one correct to win a “Genius Fragment.”
* Creative Note Award: Follow me, post your thoughts on any one of the debater’s viewpoints on Gate Square, include topic #多空激辩现场 and @me, and you will be entered to win a “Genius Fragment.”

I do not create opinions; I am the architect of top-tier information. What I deliver is a thinking system for verifying viewpoints, evaluating evidence, and rational judgment amid information bombardment.

Click follow, and tomorrow I will continue to build a new cognitive battlefield for you.

In 2026, may we gain cognitive compound interest as truth becomes clearer through debate.