The market cycle in 2025 saw precious metals (especially silver), copper, and other commodity assets perform remarkably well. The A-shares and European-American stock markets also fared quite well (with the technology growth sector leading). Although US Treasury bonds offered attractive yields, their overall ranking was lower. The currencies USD, RMB, and commodities like oil and gold were relatively weak.
Looking back at the asset class rankings for this year: Precious metals > Copper > A-shares ≈ European and American stocks > Euro > US Treasuries > RMB > ChinaBond > USD > Oil.
As we move into 2026, the game may need to be reshuffled. Based on macro cycles and policy signals, the priority of asset allocation will be adjusted as follows — US stocks become the top choice, with BTC closely following (cryptocurrencies have clear cyclical characteristics), gold remains stable, and there are opportunities in copper and silver. Although US Treasuries offer good yields, their ranking declines. The A-share index performance is expected to be average, and RMB, ChinaBond, USD, and oil will continue to face pressure.
In simple terms, to seize opportunities in 2026, you should shift your focus from commodities to equities and cryptocurrencies, especially leading assets like BTC, which may be more worth paying attention to than traditional safe-haven assets.
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SatoshiChallenger
· 01-10 06:16
Come on, let's make a bet. Let's see how accurate this prediction is in six months [laughs]
Data shows that those "high-performing" commodity assets last year have historically been signals of cycle tops.
Ironically, now they're starting to promote that BTC is more worth paying attention to than gold. They say this every bull market.
Interestingly, the US stock market hasn't even finalized its interest rate policy yet, but they're eager to draw conclusions?
From historical lessons, the best choice this year could become the "worst" next year. The market's irrationality is right here.
Objectively speaking, no one has been able to consistently beat the randomness of the crypto world, and anyone who believes in this stuff ends up paying tuition.
This configuration logic looks to me like chasing the highs and selling the lows.
It's not me being sarcastic, although the expectations for A-shares are average, they are actually less "tricky" compared to some other assets.
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ChainMaskedRider
· 01-09 23:31
BTC still needs to be watched, but can US stocks be this stable? It feels like the risk isn't that simple.
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LightningAllInHero
· 01-09 05:03
Silver took off, which I didn't expect, but turning to look at BTC feels even more appealing.
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RektRecorder
· 01-08 16:25
That wave of silver was indeed fierce, but now saying that US stocks and BTC will take over... we have to see how the policy winds blow.
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MEVHunterZhang
· 01-08 01:44
Silver's run this year has indeed been incredible, but now it's time to look at BTC? The pace is a bit fast...
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Are US stocks really about to take off? It still depends on what the Federal Reserve does.
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Last year, precious metals had a feast; is it now the turn of the crypto market?
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BTC is closely following US stocks; I find this logic a bit hard to hold together haha.
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A-shares continue to lag behind, huh? It’s really a bit uncomfortable.
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Gold remains steady; just for this reason, I have to allocate some.
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From commodities to equities and cryptocurrencies, it seems I need to completely rebalance my positions.
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Although US bonds pay interest, their ranking has been established. By the way, are there still people bottom-fishing now?
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This chess game in 2026, BTC is really attractive.
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The commodity rotation has ended; is it now the crypto market's turn to take over?
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GateUser-a180694b
· 01-08 01:40
The combination of US stocks + BTC, I agree with this logic. Silver has been really good this year, but in 2026, we still need to watch the performance of tech stocks and the crypto market.
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AirdropHarvester
· 01-08 01:32
Hmm... wait, the expectations for A-shares are average, but should I still allocate? Or just go all in on US stocks and BTC?
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Rekt_Recovery
· 01-08 01:26
ngl, got absolutely liquidated on commodities last year thinking silver was gonna moon forever... now they're telling me to pivot to btc and us equities? 这就是我被反复教训的剧本啊,position sizing 永远是最难的课。不过话说 BTC 的周期确实有迹可循,2026 这波要是又 FOMO 进去就真的活该了
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CounterIndicator
· 01-08 01:25
This wave of silver is indeed fierce, but switching to BTC in 2026? Our set of arguments probably isn't just driving with a rearview mirror again...
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ConsensusDissenter
· 01-08 01:21
Silver took off, and I didn't get on board. Now you're talking about switching to US stocks and BTC? Feels a bit late...
The market cycle in 2025 saw precious metals (especially silver), copper, and other commodity assets perform remarkably well. The A-shares and European-American stock markets also fared quite well (with the technology growth sector leading). Although US Treasury bonds offered attractive yields, their overall ranking was lower. The currencies USD, RMB, and commodities like oil and gold were relatively weak.
Looking back at the asset class rankings for this year: Precious metals > Copper > A-shares ≈ European and American stocks > Euro > US Treasuries > RMB > ChinaBond > USD > Oil.
As we move into 2026, the game may need to be reshuffled. Based on macro cycles and policy signals, the priority of asset allocation will be adjusted as follows — US stocks become the top choice, with BTC closely following (cryptocurrencies have clear cyclical characteristics), gold remains stable, and there are opportunities in copper and silver. Although US Treasuries offer good yields, their ranking declines. The A-share index performance is expected to be average, and RMB, ChinaBond, USD, and oil will continue to face pressure.
In simple terms, to seize opportunities in 2026, you should shift your focus from commodities to equities and cryptocurrencies, especially leading assets like BTC, which may be more worth paying attention to than traditional safe-haven assets.