The 10-year Japanese government bond yield has just broken through 2.13%, a level not seen since 1999. To sum it up in one sentence: the "cheap yen" era that the Bank of Japan has maintained for many years is officially coming to an end.
Why so sudden? Simply put, Japan can no longer withstand inflation. Wages are rising, prices are increasing, and the central bank has finally had to adjust its strategy, bidding farewell to the era of negative interest rates and stopping unlimited money printing.
What does this mean for the global markets? A chain reaction is underway:
First, the appreciation of the yen will trigger major changes in arbitrage trading. Over the past few decades, Japan's near-zero interest rates have continuously fueled arbitrage funds flowing into US stocks, US bonds, and the crypto markets. Now that domestic interest rates are higher, these funds have reason to flow back to Japan, risking a large-scale withdrawal of capital from global markets.
Second, Japan's government debt pressure will rapidly worsen. High debt levels combined with rising interest rates will significantly increase repayment pressures, posing risks to global financial stability.
Finally, and most critically: the crypto space will be directly impacted. Global liquidity is like blood vessels, interconnected at every link. Once this largest source of cheap capital begins to tighten, the era of abundant liquidity may truly come to an end. Market volatility will rise, and assets supported by liquidity bubbles will face re-pricing.
In short, this is not just a policy adjustment by the Bank of Japan; it marks a turning point in the global capital landscape. Who will be affected next is worth deep consideration.
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DegenMcsleepless
· 01-09 09:34
Damn, the Bank of Japan's move is pretty aggressive. Arbitrage funds are flowing back? The crypto world better brace itself.
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GateUser-74b10196
· 01-08 22:20
Yen appreciation arbitrage funds are flowing back, and the liquidity in the crypto circle is about to disappear... Now it depends on who can survive.
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MetaverseHomeless
· 01-08 15:08
The Bank of Japan has finally gone crazy; cheap funding sources are about to dry up. The crypto world is about to take a hit.
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FlippedSignal
· 01-06 10:09
Japan's recent moves are really signaling that the good days in the crypto world are coming to an end
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Wait, is the arbitrage capital flowing back? Then we these bagholders...
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Wow, so the previous surge was actually funded by Japan's parents, and now they're going to cut the support
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Liquidity tightening = big volatility ahead, now there's something to play with
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Every time I see this kind of analysis, I think of one thing: the last to buy in are always retail investors
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Japan is also starting to raise interest rates, the world is changing, how good can the crypto market really get?
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The question is, will all that capital truly flow back? Or will it be diverted elsewhere?
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High debt + high interest rates—this combo is going to hit Japan hard itself
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GateUser-3824aa38
· 01-06 10:09
Wow, is the arbitrage funds really flowing back? The crypto circle is about to be cleared out.
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JustAnotherWallet
· 01-06 10:09
Wow, Japan is also starting to raise interest rates. The crypto world is in trouble now.
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SerumSquirter
· 01-06 10:06
Damn, Japan is starting to tighten as well? Then the good days here are really coming to an end.
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Here we go again, every time they talk about a major turning point, the Fed said the same last time.
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Wait, are the arbitrage funds withdrawing from Japan? Then my leveraged positions... never mind, I dare not think about it.
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2.13%? That's really crazy for Japan, but how does that directly affect the crypto world? Where's the supposed independent asset?
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Haha, the bubble is about to burst. I knew it would happen sooner or later. The question is, when will it pop? I want to enjoy a few more months of dividends.
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So now, should I run or continue to HODL? That's the real question.
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Can the Japanese government handle that debt? That seems to be the most explosive point.
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If liquidity truly dries up, it won't be just a simple drop.
View OriginalReply0
RektButSmiling
· 01-06 10:06
Japan's printing presses are about to shut down, and our arbitrage paradise is also disappearing. Feeling a bit anxious.
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MetaLord420
· 01-06 09:56
This move in Japan directly drags us all into the water. The arbitrage funds are flowing back so aggressively; the crypto circle is probably about to take a hit.
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Hash_Bandit
· 01-06 09:51
yo, yen carry trade unwind hitting different this time around ngl
#数字资产动态追踪 Listen to me, a major turning point has recently occurred in the global financial markets.
$ETH $BNB $ZEC
The 10-year Japanese government bond yield has just broken through 2.13%, a level not seen since 1999. To sum it up in one sentence: the "cheap yen" era that the Bank of Japan has maintained for many years is officially coming to an end.
Why so sudden? Simply put, Japan can no longer withstand inflation. Wages are rising, prices are increasing, and the central bank has finally had to adjust its strategy, bidding farewell to the era of negative interest rates and stopping unlimited money printing.
What does this mean for the global markets? A chain reaction is underway:
First, the appreciation of the yen will trigger major changes in arbitrage trading. Over the past few decades, Japan's near-zero interest rates have continuously fueled arbitrage funds flowing into US stocks, US bonds, and the crypto markets. Now that domestic interest rates are higher, these funds have reason to flow back to Japan, risking a large-scale withdrawal of capital from global markets.
Second, Japan's government debt pressure will rapidly worsen. High debt levels combined with rising interest rates will significantly increase repayment pressures, posing risks to global financial stability.
Finally, and most critically: the crypto space will be directly impacted. Global liquidity is like blood vessels, interconnected at every link. Once this largest source of cheap capital begins to tighten, the era of abundant liquidity may truly come to an end. Market volatility will rise, and assets supported by liquidity bubbles will face re-pricing.
In short, this is not just a policy adjustment by the Bank of Japan; it marks a turning point in the global capital landscape. Who will be affected next is worth deep consideration.