A well-known investment firm recently updated its 2026 industry outlook report and adjusted its rating for a compliant platform from "Neutral" to "Buy." The underlying logic is worth noting — this exchange has been pushing for a transformation of its revenue structure over the years.
Trading fees used to be the primary source of income for crypto exchanges, but now the situation has changed. From infrastructure-based businesses such as custody, staking, and subscriptions, these relatively stable revenue streams now account for about 40% of total revenue. Compared to less than 5% five years ago, the growth is quite significant.
Why is this shift so important? Simply put, trading-related income is highly volatile; when the market pulls back, earnings can drop sharply. A diversified product portfolio can provide better buffering effects, allowing the company to operate more stably amid crypto market fluctuations.
The investment firm’s target price is $303, compared to the recent price of $225, indicating some upside potential. However, they also admit that industry competition is becoming increasingly fierce, and with the possible environment of interest rate cuts, short-term profit margins remain under pressure. Overall, their attitude is "selectively optimistic," rather than fully optimistic. This cautious assessment reflects the true state of the industry — opportunities and challenges coexist.
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MerkleMaid
· 01-09 02:38
Speaking of which, the timing of this upgrade rating is a bit interesting. At the price of 303, we'll have to see if it can hold up in the future.
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FreeRider
· 01-08 08:24
Damn, from neutral to buy? This stock is about to take off, but I have a feeling that the 303 price level is a bit shaky...
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CryptoFortuneTeller
· 01-06 06:52
A 40% stable income share—that's the real moat. Exchanges can't keep up anymore; it's time to figure out how to win passively.
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MEVSupportGroup
· 01-06 06:49
From fees to infrastructure, this is the true moat of an exchange. Got it.
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TokenStorm
· 01-06 06:49
40% infrastructure revenue sounds good, but it's still the old trick—waiting for the market to crash before revealing the true situation.
The 225 to 303 range, is this institution just drawing a pie for the retail investors? With such short-term pressure, how can it rise?
Diversified income? Honestly, it's still a gamble that the entire ecosystem won't die; we're all in the eye of the storm.
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OnChainSleuth
· 01-06 06:42
This logic makes sense; fee income is indeed too fragile.
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303 dollars? Let's wait and see, short-term pressure is there.
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A 40% stable income sounds good, but I'm just worried about the execution ability.
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Nice words, but the key is whether we can withstand the interest rate cut cycle.
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I’ve learned to selectively favor this view; anyway, I’ll wait for a breakdown before taking action.
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From 5% to 40%, these five years have really been about working hard.
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Diversification is great, but can the platforms really do a good job? Suspense.
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ForkTongue
· 01-06 06:33
40% stable income sounds good, but can it really get through the next bear market? Exchanges should have long adopted this diversified fee model.
A well-known investment firm recently updated its 2026 industry outlook report and adjusted its rating for a compliant platform from "Neutral" to "Buy." The underlying logic is worth noting — this exchange has been pushing for a transformation of its revenue structure over the years.
Trading fees used to be the primary source of income for crypto exchanges, but now the situation has changed. From infrastructure-based businesses such as custody, staking, and subscriptions, these relatively stable revenue streams now account for about 40% of total revenue. Compared to less than 5% five years ago, the growth is quite significant.
Why is this shift so important? Simply put, trading-related income is highly volatile; when the market pulls back, earnings can drop sharply. A diversified product portfolio can provide better buffering effects, allowing the company to operate more stably amid crypto market fluctuations.
The investment firm’s target price is $303, compared to the recent price of $225, indicating some upside potential. However, they also admit that industry competition is becoming increasingly fierce, and with the possible environment of interest rate cuts, short-term profit margins remain under pressure. Overall, their attitude is "selectively optimistic," rather than fully optimistic. This cautious assessment reflects the true state of the industry — opportunities and challenges coexist.