#数字资产动态追踪 The recent rebound cycle has been locked in by the Federal Reserve's January interest rate decision, with only a 17% chance of a rate cut, so January is basically a no-go.

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin dropping to 80,600 is actually a correction after an oversold condition, not even touching the 0.618 Fibonacci level. My understanding of this wave is a rebound—whether it can hold above 94,000 is the key dividing line, directly determining the subsequent trend. The 91,000 to 92,000 range is the real critical threshold.

Looking at the weekly chart, the previous large-scale rally has already ended, and we are now in a downward cycle with a rebound phase. The long-term logic hasn't reversed, and caution is still needed in the 70,000s zone.

Specifically, the weekly structure shows support around 75,000 and resistance at 97,500. The daily chart has already broken through the 91,000 key level, but resistance above is dense—if the 94,000 hurdle can't hold, it's likely to fall back to the 90,000 range for repeated fluctuations.

Short positions around 94,000 can be maintained, with support at 92,800 below.