#2026年比特币行情展望 In the short term, this rebound cycle will continue until late January before the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting. According to market pricing, the probability of a rate cut is only about 17%, with no rate cut expectations in January.

Bitcoin has rebounded from a low of 80,600 to the present, and strictly speaking, it is still in the oversold correction phase — it hasn't even touched the 0.618 retracement level. Therefore, this current rally cannot be considered a reversal; at most, it is a rebound within a downtrend continuation.

Whether it can hold above 94,000 is crucial. If it pulls back, the support level will directly determine the short-term bulls' fate. The 91,000-92,000 range is the short-term critical support line that must be maintained.

From a weekly perspective, the previous large-scale rally has already peaked, and the current phase is a rebound within a downtrend cycle. The long-term trend has not reversed, and the 70,000 range remains an unavoidable target zone on the downside.

Weekly support is around 75,000, with resistance at 97,500. Although the daily chart broke the 91,000 key level, there are many dense resistance layers above. For example, if it cannot hold above 94,000, it is likely to oscillate around 90,000 repeatedly, with recent support near 92,800.