2026-01-06 05:23:28

Bitcoin has currently rebounded to around 93,000, just hitting the middle line of the channel. With about ten days remaining until January 15th, there are roughly two main scenarios for Bitcoin's movement during this period.

**Optimistic Scenario:** If Bitcoin can effectively break through the channel's middle line in the next two days, it may rebound and surge toward the annual line around the 15th. There's a variable here—if an important indicator adjustment occurs on the 15th, Bitcoin could turn downward, testing lows below 80,000; otherwise, it will continue to push upward.

**Pessimistic Scenario:** During these ten days, the price may oscillate around the channel's middle line, unable to break the high of December 9th. The subsequent rebound space will be limited, at most returning to near the annual line.

Where is the key? It depends on MSTR's performance in the next couple of days. The opening trend of MSTR tonight will provide some signals—if MSTR confirms a rebound, the probability of the optimistic scenario increases; but if MSTR continues to weaken, the pessimistic scenario is more likely to unfold.

From a technical perspective, MSTR's daily chart has already shown RSI bullish divergence signals, indicating a relatively high chance of a short-term rebound. Meanwhile, Bitcoin is also steadily rising along the lower daily moving average. Considering these signs, the probability of the optimistic scenario currently appears to be higher.

BTC0,35%

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BlockTalk

· 15h ago

Wait, can MSTR really determine the trend? Feels a bit over the top --- The position at the middle line of the candlestick chart is indeed prone to repeated fluctuations --- An optimistic scenario sounds good, but I still worry that something might happen again on the 15th --- RSI bottom divergence is a pretty good signal, but this kind of thing has fooled me many times --- Honestly, rather than looking at indicators, I prefer to wait for MSTR’s reaction. When that thing moves, you’ll know the trend --- Is 93,000 enough to break through? Feels like it’s still a bit early --- Repeated oscillations are the most annoying, more uncomfortable than a drop --- The key is whether it can stabilize in the next couple of days, otherwise it’s all for nothing --- If there really is a policy on the 15th, it might cause another waterfall. I bet 5 bucks

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Web3Educator

· 19h ago

honestly the mstr signal tonight could be make-or-break... if it doesn't confirm that bounce, we're looking at sideways hell till the 15th ngl

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NotFinancialAdvice

· 01-06 05:52

It's the same MSTR cryptography again, relying on it to send signals every time. Can it really break through this time? Tonight's performance of MSTR depends on this wave; either it breaks the yearly high or drops by 80,000. There's not much to say in between. The 93,000 level is a bit awkward to hold, fearing repeated shakeouts to scare people out. Waiting for the indicator on the 15th, it feels like Bitcoin might be played to death by this timing. Will it reverse and fall? RSI bottom divergence sounds good, but I've seen this kind of signal too many times; being wrong is a common occurrence.

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FudVaccinator

· 01-06 05:49

I think the bottom divergence signal for MSTR this time is a bit too far-fetched; historically, this pattern often fails... We still need to look at the data from the 15th, otherwise it will just keep getting slapped around at around 93,000.

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MindsetExpander

· 01-06 05:32

Oh, if MSTR this guy doesn't perform well tonight and just gives up, we'll have to stay put. Honestly, it's still the same old story, reading the market sentiment to decide. Wait, if on the 15th there's another unexpected event, all our plans will be for nothing. Currently, the optimistic camp seems to have the upper hand, but this thing can turn on a dime, really. I'm just worried about repeated fluctuations wearing down the mentality, ending up hovering around 9.3. Can MSTR's performance these past two days really determine the trend? It’s a bit like a myth. I don't believe it will drop below 80,000 unless a black swan event really happens. The annual line at this point is a bit uncertain, hard to bet on. Feels like we're entering a waiting period again, annoying. Let's see if there's a breakout in the mid-term; anything said now is just talk. RSI bottom divergence sounds good, but is this thing reliable?

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FastLeaver

· 01-06 05:28

Stuck in a tug-of-war around the midline, MSTR needs to give a clear stance. This wave depends on how MSTR opens tonight. If it continues to weaken, we’ll have to recalculate. The 9.3 level is a bit awkward—neither up nor down. The divergence at the bottom has appeared, yet no rebound? The market better live up to this signal. Anyway, in about ten days, the answer will be clear—either break through the annual line or drop back to 80,000. Just a game of probabilities.

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OffchainWinner

· 01-06 05:24

The key is whether MSTR can perform well in the next couple of days, otherwise it will have to fluctuate until the 15th.

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