A Trading Bot's Comeback Story

In less than a month, the account grew from a negative $1,000 to $273,000. It sounds unbelievable, but the logic behind it isn't that complicated.

Your first reaction might be—this is probably just the same old trick. Arbitrage between two sides? Or traditional arbitrage operations?

But after reviewing the trading records thoroughly, I realized it’s not quite that simple.

The only thing this bot did right was one: before Polymarket prices could catch up with the market reaction, it had already accurately captured the signals indicating price movement. It sounds simple, but the execution difficulty is worlds apart.

In plain terms, it’s about the time difference. The delicate window between information and price was fully exploited by it. This advantage may seem insignificant, but in the world of high-frequency trading, that tiny edge can determine whether you make money or lose.

From the trading records, this isn’t just a simple quantitative strategy; it’s a precise positioning based on a deep understanding of market microstructure.