ETH Technical Outlook: Ethereum Attempts Recovery but Faces Strong Overhead Resistance

Ethereum is showing signs of stabilization after weeks of corrective movement, with buyers gradually stepping in from a key higher-timeframe support base. However, ETH continues to trade below major EMA clusters and Fibonacci resistance, keeping the broader short-term bias cautiously neutral-to-bearish.

Market Structure & Trend

In recent weeks, ETH has formed:

A clear series of lower highs

Multiple failed recovery attempts near resistance bands

Sideways consolidation above a major demand zone

The current rebound is constructive — but as long as ETH remains beneath its primary resistance corridor, price action still reflects a relief bounce within a corrective structure, not yet a confirmed bullish reversal.

EMA Structure (Overhead Pressure)

ETH remains below all major EMAs, which now act as layered resistance:

20 EMA — $3,022

50 EMA — $3,117

100 EMA — $3,311

200 EMA — $3,355

This creates a dense resistance ceiling between $3,100–$3,350.
A decisive reclaim of the 100 & 200 EMAs would materially improve momentum outlook.

Fibonacci Levels & Key Resistance Zones

Ethereum continues respecting the broader Fibonacci retracement levels:

0.236 Fib — $3,173

0.382 Fib — $3,514

0.5 Fib — $3,789

0.618 Fib — $4,064

0.786 Fib — $4,456

Fib 1.0 — $4,956

A sustained move above $3,173 would be the first positive technical shift, opening room for an advance toward the mid-range resistance band.

Support & Demand Zones

ETH is holding above important accumulation areas:

Immediate support: $3,050–$3,000

Secondary demand: $2,820–$2,750

Major downside support: $2,623 (Fib 0)

Holding above $3,000 keeps the recovery scenario intact.
A breakdown below $2,820 would signal weakening bullish participation.

Bullish Continuation Scenario

If buyers maintain control:

$3,173 (0.236 Fib) — first breakout trigger

$3,514 (0.382 Fib) — structural stabilization zone

$3,789 (0.5 Fib) — momentum confirmation

$4,064 (0.618 Fib) — key reversal level

A strong close above $4,050–$4,100 would re-establish a clear bullish trend structure.

Bearish Risk Scenario

Failure at resistance could lead to:

Pullback toward $3,050–$3,000

Deeper retest toward $2,820–$2,750

Potential decline toward $2,623 if demand weakens

A breakdown below $2,600 would re-open a broader bearish continuation phase.

Momentum Indicator (RSI)

RSI (14): 60

RSI has moved above neutral, showing improving buyer strength — but still below overbought territory, suggesting room for continuation if key resistance levels begin to break.

📊 Key Levels Summary

Resistance

$3,173

$3,514

$3,789

$4,064

$4,456

Support

$3,050–$3,000

$2,820–$2,750

$2,623 (major support)

📌 Summary

Ethereum is attempting a constructive recovery from higher-timeframe support while RSI momentum improves. However, the dense EMA cluster and Fibonacci resistance above price mean the broader structure has not yet fully shifted bullish.

A breakout above $3,173, followed by sustained strength toward $3,500–$3,790, would confirm meaningful improvement — while losing $2,820 would place sellers back in control.

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