Why Wall Street Might Be Sleeping on This Memory Chip Powerhouse in 2026

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The AI Boom Created an Unexpected Supply Crisis

While everyone’s attention stays glued to the usual AI darlings trading at eye-watering valuations, something quietly dramatic is unfolding in the memory chip space. Graphics processing units and data center accelerators are consuming massive amounts of high-bandwidth memory (HBM), creating severe shortages in the regular chips that power smartphones and PCs. This supply crunch has sent memory prices soaring—and they’re headed even higher in 2026.

Here’s what’s actually happening: the HBM market is expected to explode at a 42% annualized growth rate through 2033. Yet memory chip makers like Micron Technology are deliberately keeping production growth modest—somewhere around 16-17% annually. That’s a recipe for sustained price strength. Even more compelling, server memory costs could literally double next year as data center demand intensifies.

The Numbers Tell a Shocking Story About Valuation

Micron Technology just reported a 57% surge in quarterly revenue and a staggering 167% jump in adjusted earnings compared to last year. But here’s the kicker: the stock trades at a trailing earnings multiple of just 27, which feels absurdly cheap for a company growing this fast.

Looking ahead, Micron projects revenue will jump 132% year-over-year to $18.7 billion next quarter, with adjusted earnings climbing more than fivefold. Wall Street’s consensus sees earnings reaching $32.14 per share in the next fiscal year—a nearly fourfold increase.

The forward P/E tells the real story: Micron sits at just 9, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 averages 26. If investors eventually reward Micron with a more reasonable multiple aligned with the broader tech index, the upside could be substantial.

A Multi-Year Tailwind, Not a Temporary Pop

The picture extends far beyond 2026. Industry data suggests spending on AI data centers could hit $1.2 trillion by 2030. Meanwhile, Micron’s recent 250% annual gain is just the beginning if these supply constraints persist and AI infrastructure buildout accelerates.

The stock rose 30% last year, yet unlike names like Nvidia, Palantir, and Broadcom—now trading at premium valuations—Micron Technology still offers what looks like genuine pricing inefficiency. A company with this kind of earnings trajectory, riding a multi-year structural shift in chip demand, trading at these valuations, suggests the market hasn’t fully absorbed what’s coming.

For investors hunting undervalued exposure to AI infrastructure’s memory requirements, this represents the kind of asymmetric opportunity that doesn’t surface often in mature semiconductor plays.

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
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