The essence of the crypto market is a game of belief. From a certain perspective, tokens are the most direct financial instruments created by humans—they directly convert investors' expectations and market attention into liquidity. Price fluctuations are not driven by utility value, but by stories, expectations, and people who know how to turn market focus into chips. This is fundamentally not a traditional market; it’s more like a psychological game full of variables. Most participants haven't really figured out where they stand.
The process of price discovery in the market can actually be traced. No matter how project teams hype it up, all tokens generally follow the same cycle—initially driven purely by speculation, with little to no practical application. Prices soar purely on herd mentality, communities gather around distant visions, and marketing volume drowns out reality. Then, an inevitable correction occurs—this round will shake off the weak-willed and expose investors who jumped in after hearing just one slogan.
A significant retracement is actually a watershed. Projects without genuine demand begin to fade: social media activity halts, development pauses, and they gradually disappear from view as funds flow elsewhere. But the tokens that survive will enter the next phase—when hype subsides, real applications gradually take shape. These projects will go through a long and steady accumulation period until the next cycle begins.
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Well said, this is what I've realized over the past few years. After being rejected a few times, I finally understand that it's not really investing, but gambling on who can survive to the next round.
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AirdropHunterZhang
· 01-03 03:56
Haha, you're so right. I'm the kind of fool who goes all in just after hearing a slogan.
Years of free airdrops, and I finally understand this logic. Breaking even is a distant dream.
In this cycle, I once again wiped out on PancakeSwap. Next round, I'll be more cautious... maybe.
It's really about who runs first. Those who truly make big money quietly have been laying low during the accumulation phase.
That hurts, brother. I feel like I've always been left behind in the wave.
Projects that survive are worth reinvesting in, provided you make it to that point.
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AirdropBlackHole
· 01-03 03:52
That's right, 99% of people are the ones getting cut. I always wait for a pullback before entering, while those fools chasing highs have already run away.
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WalletDetective
· 01-03 03:49
Basically, it's a game of hot potato; those with strong conviction make money, while those with weak conviction take the fall.
It's the same old rhetoric; I've seen too many projects boast and then run away.
I've heard the cycle theory a hundred times, but how many actually survive? Most are still submerged.
Price is driven by stories, but who is writing these stories? Isn't it the operators who are taking advantage?
Honestly, project teams are all aware of these game rules, yet retail investors are still trying to figure out when they can make a profit.
The most dangerous time to buy the dip is when you don't know how much further it will fall.
Frankly, I've seen good projects that have indeed experienced a crash, but I've also seen even more that disappeared completely after a plunge.
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DarkPoolWatcher
· 01-03 03:39
To be realistic, the crypto world is just a game of hot potato and psychological warfare.
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LayoffMiner
· 01-03 03:39
There's nothing wrong with that, it's just so brutal. I've seen too many people go all-in after hearing a story, only to get liquidated when the price retraces.
Psychological games really, the ones who make money are never those who believe in whitepapers, but those who know when to exit.
The cycle theory is indeed effective, but the problem is that few people can hold out until the next round. Most get wiped out in the first wave of correction.
Real-world application? Ha, I'm still waiting for that day, maybe I have to wait for two more bull markets.
That's why I'm only watching and not moving now, to avoid getting chopped up by the market.
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QuietlyStaking
· 01-03 03:36
There's nothing wrong with that, but very few projects actually survive.
The essence of the crypto market is a game of belief. From a certain perspective, tokens are the most direct financial instruments created by humans—they directly convert investors' expectations and market attention into liquidity. Price fluctuations are not driven by utility value, but by stories, expectations, and people who know how to turn market focus into chips. This is fundamentally not a traditional market; it’s more like a psychological game full of variables. Most participants haven't really figured out where they stand.
The process of price discovery in the market can actually be traced. No matter how project teams hype it up, all tokens generally follow the same cycle—initially driven purely by speculation, with little to no practical application. Prices soar purely on herd mentality, communities gather around distant visions, and marketing volume drowns out reality. Then, an inevitable correction occurs—this round will shake off the weak-willed and expose investors who jumped in after hearing just one slogan.
A significant retracement is actually a watershed. Projects without genuine demand begin to fade: social media activity halts, development pauses, and they gradually disappear from view as funds flow elsewhere. But the tokens that survive will enter the next phase—when hype subsides, real applications gradually take shape. These projects will go through a long and steady accumulation period until the next cycle begins.