1. Market Overview

Based on the provided candlestick data, BTC's current price is 90010, positioned at a high level within the recent range (derived from the latest close value of the candlestick). Over the past 14 days of daily candles, BTC has experienced significant volatility, reaching a high of 90961.8 and a low of 86420. The overall price has remained within a broad oscillation zone of 87000-90000. In the past two days, the hourly chart shows BTC rebounding from around 87600, gradually approaching and ultimately surpassing the 90000 threshold. This process is accompanied by staged increases in trading volume, especially when breaking above 89000, indicating intense battle between bulls and bears.
Regarding market sentiment, combined with news and analyst opinions, short-term divergence is evident. Bulls expect a breakout beyond 100,000 USD, while bears remain cautious of a correction below 86000. Overall, sentiment is cautiously optimistic with high volatility.

2. Technical Analysis
According to the daily candlestick chart, BTC has shown wide-range oscillation over the past 14 days. The highest point is 90961.8, the lowest is 86420, and the current 90010 is in a high zone. Multiple attempts to breach 90000 within 14 days have failed, indicating strong resistance at this level. Support levels are repeatedly established around 87200-86400.
On the hourly chart, BTC has gradually risen from lows within 48 hours, with a low of approximately 87550.4, then continuing to rebound to 90010, forming a clear V-shaped recovery. During the upward push, consolidation occurred around 89178 and 89666.3, with a main breakout zone between 89900-90133.6.
Trading volume on the hourly chart has significantly increased after breaking above 89000, with room for further short-term growth. Support levels are around 89600 and 89100, with strong support between 88500-87500. Resistance levels include the previous high of 90400 and the daily high of 90961.8.

3. News and Policy Interpretation
Recent market news emphasizes BTC approaching the 90000 mark and experiencing intense fluctuations at this key historical level, such as "Bitcoin rising to 90000 USD on the second day of 2026," "Bitcoin nearing 90000 USD with trading volume surging 120%," which aligns closely with the recent rebound trend.
Large institutional movements, such as BlackRock's transfers and Tether's continued BTC purchases, indicate ongoing institutional interest, increasing market participation.
Other news mentions Bitfarms' sale of mining operations and industry shifts toward AI and high-performance computing, but no corresponding candlestick anomalies suggest limited short-term impact.
Policy-wise, based on current regulations, no updates or new disclosures have been made in the past 24 hours, one week, or one month, indicating limited influence on BTC's current price volatility.

4. Analyst Opinions
Analyst views are divided into two camps:
- "BTC Direction: Short position around 88800 with stop-loss near 89600, take profit at 88000-87200-86400. Entry is flexible, no need to chase the exact point."
- "Another door closed; before hitting 100,000 USD, this should be the last dip. Let’s see how low it goes. After a deep drop, it will rebound, and we can chase the rally without pain."
- "In Singapore, I saw Bitcoin didn't break 90,000 USD. Will there be a chance on Friday night? I closed my first trade before HK market open. Waiting for new strategies."
- "#BTC open 'logarithmic coordinate' chart to watch the downtrend line! Focus on convergence triangle correction! A clear direction is about to emerge! Breakout of the convergence triangle upward signals bullishness! Breakdown downward signals bearishness!"

Overall, some analysts lean toward considering the risk of correction after a rebound above 90,000, mainly focusing on support between 88800 and 86400, advocating dynamic trading. Others believe there may be another significant dip before reaching 100,000 USD, suggesting waiting for the final correction before re-entering. Some also note that an upward breakout of the triangle could signal bullishness, while a downward break warrants caution for deeper correction. These views align closely with the candlestick patterns: recent prices repeatedly push into the 89000-90000 range, so caution is advised for short-term chasing at high levels. Setting support around 88600-88800 is a rational reference.

5. Future Trend Prediction and Trading Suggestions
Based on candlestick data and analyst opinions, BTC's future will see intense competition around the 90000 threshold. If it can break through the 90400-90961.8 zone effectively, an upward channel may open, aiming for new all-time highs.
If short-term resistance persists, referencing multiple analysts' advice, support levels are at 88800-88600 for the first correction, with strong support at 87200-86400. As long as these levels hold during pullbacks, upward momentum can be re-accumulated; if broken, further decline risks increase.
Trading strategies include monitoring resistance near 90400 for potential breakout, and if prices pull back to 88800 or below with volume confirmation, consider phased entries. Support levels for short-term defense are around 88800, 87200, and 86400, with stop-loss set below these supports. Combining analyst advice, "enter flexibly without chasing exact points."

6. Risk Warning
BTC's current volatility is high, with wide-ranging price fluctuations. "Shorter correction times but more intense" has become the market norm.
Persistent failure to hold above 90000 may lead to retracement risks for short-term longs; breaking below 87200-86400 will intensify downward pressure.
Additionally, large volume spikes at high levels may be accompanied by institutional fund movements, posing sudden reversal risks.
In trading, strict stop-loss and position management are essential, with ongoing attention to volume and key candlestick support/resistance dynamics.
In summary, short-term trading should guard against high-level oscillations and pullbacks. When buying on dips, it is crucial to consider actual market conditions. Heavy positions or aggressive actions require full caution.