#Strategy加码BTC配置 Eight-digit returns have taught me a very simple truth—be brave enough to give up on market trends you don't understand.

After so many years of trading, I’ve noticed a phenomenon: those who make money aren’t necessarily the ones with the most detailed analysis; rather, those who can "say no" tend to survive the longest. No matter how strong your technical skills are, if you try to participate in every market movement, the end result will be frequent mistakes and ultimately a big loss.

My trading framework is very disciplined; I stick strictly to three types of trends, and in other situations, I go completely flat.

**First scenario: Trend retest confirmation**

After a rally, the price pulls back, which is normal. The key is that the pullback doesn’t break the previous key structure, and the volume tapers off cleanly. When the price hits support or previous high and then rises again—that’s the opportunity I’m looking for. Why? Because at this point, you’re entering in a safe zone after confirmation, not chasing after prices that are still floating in the air. The most common way to lose money is to chase highs without waiting for confirmation, ending up as the bagholder.

**Second scenario: Fake breakout trap during sideways consolidation**

During sideways consolidation, suddenly increasing volume pushes down, breaking support. But then it quickly pulls back, forming a false breakout. I won’t jump in during this breakdown—that’s the easiest way to get crushed. I wait for a retest confirmation followed by a genuine breakout, verified by volume and order book details. Better to miss the trade than to think it’s the bottom and end up taking a knife.

**Third scenario: Shakeout attack in the middle of a trend**

The price has already moved up for a while and begins to consolidate or slightly retrace. During this period, there will be multiple false signals to short, but the key support must hold. Once support stabilizes and a breakout signal appears on a shorter timeframe, I will add to my position appropriately. Even if I’m wrong at this point, I can still exit because the entry point always has an escape route.

I never try to top-tick, bottom-fish, or chase soaring prices. All my operations are based on system-verified data patterns. For trends outside these three scenarios, I simply stay out. Some say I might miss opportunities, and I admit it. But I don’t pursue the most participation; I pursue the longest survival. Even popular coins like $PEPE, no matter how tempting, I wait until they meet my system’s pattern before acting.

The essence of trading is never about who can catch the most, but about who can lose the least, make fewer mistakes, and go further. This understanding has changed how I perceive risk.