2026-01-02 20:49:52

Looking at January's Treasury schedule and it's surprisingly light this month. Markets are bracing for roughly $117 billion in net issuance total. Here's the key detail: all the heavy paydowns frontload early in the month. No massive settlement days coming up - the biggest single day hits January 15th with $37 billion hitting the market. That's the peak you need to watch for liquidity. Pretty clean month overall if you're tracking settlement flows.

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0xOverleveraged

· 01-05 20:49

11.7 billion really isn't much; the highlight is the wave on the 15th, liquidity needs to tighten up.

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SchrodingerAirdrop

· 01-03 22:15

Be sure to keep an eye on January 15th, when 3.7 billion will be poured in all at once. If liquidity can't be held, it's hard to say what will happen. Wait, so is a relatively quiet month a good thing or a bad thing? It feels like it's easier to get caught off guard. 1.17 billion sounds like a lot, but spreading it out over the entire month probably isn't a big deal... Finish selling early, and things will settle down sooner.

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gas_guzzler

· 01-03 20:21

Be sure to keep an eye on January 15th, when $37b is dumped. How the liquidity will perform is really hard to say. --- The issuance of over 1,100 billion sounds not so scary actually. --- The routine of focusing on debt repayment early on comes every year, I'm used to it. --- Clean month? Uh... compared to last year, maybe it counts, haha. --- Waiting to see if the 15th will follow the same old script again. --- Liquidity is the most critical part; everything else is just虚的.

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wrekt_but_learning

· 01-02 21:20

On January 15th, we need to hold steady; if 37b crashes down, liquidity will be shattered.

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MonkeySeeMonkeyDo

· 01-02 21:18

117 billion doesn't sound like much, so why are we still focusing on January 15?

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MEVictim

· 01-02 21:07

1. Keep a close eye on January 15th, liquidity might be tight. 2. A issuance volume of over 100 billion sounds not too aggressive, but the pressure in the early part of this month is still quite significant. 3. To be honest, this schedule is much more moderate than I expected; I thought it would blow up before. 4. Wait, the biggest settlement day is only 37 billion? Feels not as exaggerated as I imagined. 5. So much paydown early on... I wonder if there will be any surprises later. 6. It looks like liquidity won't be particularly tight; it's manageable this month. 7. 117 billion net issuance, fresh data just released, mark the 15th. 8. Saying it's a clean month feels a bit optimistic; still need to be cautious. 9. The frontload strategy early on, is it to make things easier later? 10. On the 15th, all attention needs to be mobilized; other times can be relatively relaxed.

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LayerZeroHero

· 01-02 20:58

On January 15th, we have to stay alert. Will the 37B crash cause a liquidity explosion?

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MidnightTrader