2026-01-02 18:23:37

Recently, a new project in the overseas community has gained quite a bit of attention. It adopts a 4-month structured phased presale model. From a design perspective, this scheme aims to strike a balance for early investors between locking in long-term positions and reducing the pressure of concentrated sell-offs—tokens are gradually unlocked month by month. Compared to those one-time release presales, this approach is indeed much more moderate.

Some analysts even suggest that this might be a good current choice for crypto presales, mainly because of this time management design. It does sound interesting, but reality is often more complicated.

Let's start with a few issues that must be acknowledged. The presale track itself is a high-risk territory; historical data shows that about 90% of presale projects eventually go to zero, and this is not alarmist. Secondly, predicting when the next wave of altcoins will come and how strong it will be is anyone’s guess—sometimes it may be delayed, and sometimes the momentum may not be ideal. Additionally, now the Layer2 and meme coin sectors are becoming very crowded, with new projects flooding in, making competition fierce.

While phased unlocking can alleviate supply shocks, it doesn't change the fundamental success or failure logic of the project itself. For entering such presales, the key is to recognize your own risk tolerance and not be blinded by the expected phased release mechanism.

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HappyMinerUncle

· 01-05 17:48

90% chance to zero out, no matter how fancy the unlocking mechanism is, it can't save it. It feels like a bit of an IQ tax. Releasing in stages sounds good, but if the market doesn't come, everything is in vain. This track is indeed very competitive, with new projects emerging one after another. Honestly, it still depends on the team and practical application; otherwise, even a gentle mechanism is just delaying the risk. Layer2 and meme coins are already everywhere; it's hard for new projects to stand out. Don't let the design of time blind you; 90% of the data is right there. I'm here to make money, not to pay tuition, brother. I've seen too many of these "innovative models" end up with no sound at all.

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BearMarketBarber

· 01-05 17:12

The 90% zeroing-out rate data made me lose interest immediately. Unlocking over 4 months with installments can't save a bad project no matter how fancy it is. --- Staged releases sound comfortable, but honestly, it's still a gamble on whether the token price will rise. If you bet wrong, you'll just watch it gradually zero out. --- Who still believes in pre-sales now? Layer2 and meme coins are all stacked up, and new projects just end up as support runners. --- This mechanism is just psychological comfort. The real factors that determine life or death are still the team and the product. Don't be fooled by the lock-up design. --- What sounds good is risk management, but in reality, it just prolongs the time you're trapped. --- I just want to ask, which project among the 90% can survive until the end when unlocking in stages? --- Monthly unlocking is indeed gentler than a one-time dump, but gentler doesn't mean safer. It's still a game where nine out of ten lose. --- I've been tired of pre-sales for a long time. No matter how you package it, it can't change the gambling nature.

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GasWrangler

· 01-02 18:48

nah honestly the vesting schedule is just cosmetic—if you analyze the data, 90% of these presales still go to zero regardless of how they drip tokens lol. people get distracted by the "structured release" marketing but fundamentally the project either has utility or it doesn't, technically speaking

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OnchainDetectiveBing

· 01-02 18:39

A 90% zeroing rate is already scary enough, and monthly unlocks are just psychological comfort. No matter how attractive the selling points are, the project will die just as quickly. Basically, it's just a different way to cut leeks; extending the timeline actually increases the risk. The staged release plan seems to be designed to make you hold on for a few more months watching it zero out. Layer2 and meme coin tracks are now too competitive; new projects hardly have a chance to stand out, so why get involved in this muddy water? Gambler's mentality is at play, just hoping to survive month by month. Early investors' logic sounds like survivor bias; most people have already given up.

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tokenomics_truther

· 01-02 18:30

90% zeroing-out rate, this is the real truth. Don't be fooled by sweet talk about installment unlocking. --- Monthly release sounds good, but if the project is bad, it still zeroes out. It's just a different way to lose money. --- Now the pre-sale track is all copy-paste. Unless there's a real user base, it's just gambling on the next market cycle. --- Everyone says this model is good, which makes me even more cautious. It indicates that the sellers are after this consensus trap. --- Unlocking in stages can save the project? That's illogical. It's just delaying the sell-off time. --- Layer2 and memes are everywhere. Why can this new project break through? I really don't understand why people are still flocking to it. --- Once you see through it, installment plans just prevent you from losing everything at once, making you feel better mentally. --- I just want to know who calculated the 4-month unlock cycle. It feels very arbitrary. --- For pre-sales, with the zeroing-out rate standing there, no mechanism design can change the fate. --- When will the altcoin market come? Bro, isn't this just the essence of gambling? No one can predict it.

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