I provided a market analysis framework on December 26th, with the core logic as follows: first, on the daily chart, the price surged to touch the MA50 and then pulled back, followed by a narrow range consolidation, and finally a rally. Looking back now, this rhythm has basically played out. The first phase already reached the MA50 and indeed experienced a correction, and we are currently in the narrow consolidation stage. Next, it’s simple—once a key bullish candle appears, a more obvious upward movement can be seen.

But why rush? What’s missing now is time. The moving average system needs time to complete the golden cross formation, and since we are already in the narrow range, patience is required for signals. From a time cycle perspective, January should be the window for the true start of this rally.

This is the core issue—many people like to trade based on feelings when watching the market, thinking that if it should go up, they go long; if it should go down, they go short. But the market actually has an internal logic, with different indicators confirming each other. When technical analysis, cycles, and moving average systems are combined, the overall trend can be understood. If you master this logical framework, do you still need to guess what the "whale’s pattern" is? The trends of mainstream coins like BTC and SOL are actually clearer than you might think.