【CryptoWorld】CryptoQuant analysts recently pointed out an interesting phenomenon. When the market forms a highly consensus view, it often moves in the opposite direction—that is, the majority’s judgment is often wrong.
This situation has occurred multiple times in history. For example, during the period from July to October 2024, and also from February to April 2025, the market experienced similar extreme consensus. Whenever this happens, it tends to trigger a significant trend reversal. Especially during longer bear market cycles, these phases tend to last even longer.
We are only beginning to enter such a phase starting from early November. So there’s no need to rush into bottom fishing or heavy positions. But the problem is, if we only turn bearish now, it might be a bit late—because the best window for contrarian action has already been missed.
It is worth noting that although current market indicators are still generally bullish, maintaining sufficient caution and patience in a bear market environment remains the top priority. Blindly following the consensus often marks the beginning of losses.
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
14 Likes
Reward
14
10
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
MEVictim
· 2025-12-31 08:49
Bro, this wave of consensus reversal, I bet five bucks it's just another scheme to trap retail investors again.
View OriginalReply0
TokenomicsTinfoilHat
· 2025-12-30 17:50
Hmm... How many times have I heard the saying that consensus is reversing? Every time they say it should turn around, the price keeps falling. Truly incredible.
View OriginalReply0
WalletsWatcher
· 2025-12-29 18:36
I've heard the consensus reversal theory too many times. Every time, I'm told to operate in the opposite direction, but I still get caught in the trap.
View OriginalReply0
SoliditySlayer
· 2025-12-28 22:59
Consensus, the more uniform and synchronized it is, the more dangerous it becomes. This time, we really need to go against the trend.
View OriginalReply0
TooScaredToSell
· 2025-12-28 14:20
Is it too late to be bearish? Then what about bullish, even later haha
View OriginalReply0
LonelyAnchorman
· 2025-12-28 14:20
Well... I'm already tired of the reverse market theory. Every time they say to think in reverse, but in the end, we still lose together.
View OriginalReply0
unrekt.eth
· 2025-12-28 14:11
Too much consensus can actually lead to a crash; this wave definitely feels a bit risky.
View OriginalReply0
ruggedNotShrugged
· 2025-12-28 14:10
All the bears are now trapped, and now going long again might lead to liquidation. This is crypto.
View OriginalReply0
Layer2Observer
· 2025-12-28 14:08
The more consensus there is, the higher the probability of a reversal. I've seen this logic too many times, but the key is how to define "highly consistent" in the data.
View OriginalReply0
SerumDegen
· 2025-12-28 14:01
nah here's the thing... when *everyone* agrees the market's gonna dump, that's when the liquidation cascade hits different. seen this play out like 3 times already, each time more rekt than the last lmao
Market consensus reversal signal: Why it might be too late to be bearish now
【CryptoWorld】CryptoQuant analysts recently pointed out an interesting phenomenon. When the market forms a highly consensus view, it often moves in the opposite direction—that is, the majority’s judgment is often wrong.
This situation has occurred multiple times in history. For example, during the period from July to October 2024, and also from February to April 2025, the market experienced similar extreme consensus. Whenever this happens, it tends to trigger a significant trend reversal. Especially during longer bear market cycles, these phases tend to last even longer.
We are only beginning to enter such a phase starting from early November. So there’s no need to rush into bottom fishing or heavy positions. But the problem is, if we only turn bearish now, it might be a bit late—because the best window for contrarian action has already been missed.
It is worth noting that although current market indicators are still generally bullish, maintaining sufficient caution and patience in a bear market environment remains the top priority. Blindly following the consensus often marks the beginning of losses.