#比特币价格分析 The probability of Bitcoin rising again to $100,000 this year has already dropped to 25%, how pessimistic do you have to be to consider that? In my opinion, market sentiment is indeed shifting, and the forecasted probability of dropping below $80,000 is also 22%, indicating that everyone is feeling uncertain.

Based on this data, Bitcoin is likely to fluctuate between $80,000 and $100,000 by the end of the year, and breaking through new highs is indeed quite challenging. $110,000 is even more of a dream level, with only a 4% chance, which can basically be considered nonexistent.

The initial high expectations have now clearly cooled down. This is the reality of the crypto world—after a wave of market movement, expectations tend to plummet like a roller coaster, continuously dropping. It still depends on whether new stimulating factors will appear later; otherwise, this probability will continue to decline.