2025-12-27 09:25:43

Looking at the four charts, I want to share my honest thoughts with everyone—it's really not the time to blindly add more positions.

The 50-week moving average has already crossed below the 100-week moving average, signaling a classic death cross. The 100-day moving average has fallen below the 200-day moving average, which are clear signals. What's the most painful? Big players and institutions are continuously selling off, while short-term holders and retail investors keep buying in. Think about this logic—doesn't it feel a bit uncomfortable?

But don’t get too absolute—there are still rebound opportunities. However, the core strategy needs to change—short-term traders should focus on rebounds and quick trades, don’t expect to catch big moves. If you want to make real money, the win rate for short positions is now much higher than for longs.

Honestly, trading doesn’t have to be complicated. Keep an eye on the big trend, find comfortable entry points on smaller timeframes, short when it’s right, hold when it’s right. My short position at an average of 89,300 for BTC and 2,980 for ETH is still open. For those who have already taken partial profits to the second target, there are still opportunities to look further down.

Don’t let go of your short positions from this morning—hold tight.

BTC0,46%

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NullWhisperer

· 14h ago

technically speaking, death cross + institutions dumping while retail fomo-buys is literally a textbook vulnerability vector. the chart doesn't lie here.

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TokenDustCollector

· 14h ago

Death crosses have already appeared, and there are still people buying the dip at the bottom. Truly impressive. Institutions are all fleeing, retail investors are rushing in, and the gap... Just hold tight to the short positions. For rebounds, just do short-term trading. Don't think about bottom fishing and turning the tide. Be realistic. The overall trend is right here, and the success rate of the bulls is simply not enough to watch. The short position at 89,300 is still making gains. There is indeed still a chance for it to go lower. Honestly, this wave of bears is just about steady income, much less exhausting than the bulls. The moving averages have already had death crosses. Still daring to go long? Wake up, buddy. I didn't touch the short positions this morning either. Continuing to hold is the right move to respect this market.

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degenwhisperer

· 15h ago

Institutions are on the run, retail investors are catching up, this logic is truly uncomfortable. Hold tight to the short positions and don't loosen up.

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TerraNeverForget

· 15h ago

The death cross has appeared, big players are fleeing, retail investors are buying the dip, this logic is indeed perfect. Bearish is the current trend, there's no need for bulls to keep struggling.

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0xInsomnia

· 15h ago

The death cross has already appeared, yet retail investors are still picking up the bags. This logic is indeed absurd. The bearish trend is the right path.

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