Market logic is actually quite straightforward. BTC's short-term rebound has not been able to effectively break through the top of the consolidation range. Structurally, it’s still a rebound, definitely not a reversal. The daily MACD death cross is still ongoing, and the trend direction has not changed; looking at the hourly level, trading volume has clearly shrunk, a typical divergence between price and volume — the momentum for the rebound is simply insufficient, just a move to push higher in the morning session, creating opportunities for the bears.
BTC faces resistance around the 89,000–90,000 range. Once it rebounds to this level, it’s time to consider short positions. The actual target zone is around 87,500–86,500, which shows traces of previous heavy trading, combined with the weakening rebound volume, making it an ideal high-level shorting point.
The logic for ETH is similar. The resistance zone is at the upper boundary of 2970–3000. If the opportunity arises, consider shorting here. The target is between 2900–2860. The upper channel resistance has not been effectively broken, and the rebound structure itself is incomplete.
In facing the current market, the core principle is not to chase the highs or be driven by emotions. Strict stop-loss, light positions, and gradual deployment. The market provides structure and rhythm; whether you can realize profits depends entirely on whether you trade according to plan, not on getting caught up in the order book. Follow the trend; every rebound is an opportunity to position.
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MetadataExplorer
· 12-27 08:55
Still daring to chase the rally despite such obvious divergence between price and volume, serves you right to be trapped.
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LiquidityHunter
· 12-27 08:55
The divergence between price and volume is a familiar pattern to me. A surge in the early trading session is just setting the stage for us to short.
It's definitely time to act at 89,000; the weak rebound is obvious.
It's easy to say not to chase the rally, but you really need to have a disciplined hand and not be greedy.
See you at 86,500. If this break doesn't happen this time, I'll continue to short.
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SadMoneyMeow
· 12-27 08:49
The declining volume has long been anticipated, just waiting to deliver a blow to the bears at 89,000.
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PessimisticLayer
· 12-27 08:35
The pattern of divergence between price and volume has been played out for several rounds, 90,000 still can't die... Why does it feel like the timing is just about to ignite?
Repeatedly talking about MACD death cross, honestly I'm tired of hearing it. When will 89,000 finally be the top...
Saying "don't chase the rally" sounds smooth, but in actual operation, aren't we still being led by emotions?
Shrinkage on the hourly level, just go short? What about risk awareness, brother?
Is the 87,500 level really stable? It feels like a psychological price point.
How much should the stop-loss be set at? Who has really enforced it strictly? ... It's easy to say things nicely, but the hardest part is actually doing it.
Declining volume ≠ falling price, isn't this logic a bit too absolute?
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DEXRobinHood
· 12-27 08:31
The divergence between volume and price is so obvious, yet people are still chasing the rally. The short position at 89K is well placed; wait for the drop and it's done.
The same goes for ETH; the 2970 resistance level should be a point to loosen up, don't be greedy.
Honestly, the most feared are those trades that hesitate in front of the order book for a long time. Have a plan and execute it; emotions are the most costly.
The MACD death cross hasn't reversed yet, and the rebound momentum is insufficient. This logic holds up.
Volume shrinking + price rebounding is a classic bearish trap rhythm. We'll just lie back and wait for 86500.
Another signal mode... but this time, the structure does look quite clear.
A rebound is not a reversal. This phrase must be engraved in your mind; many people fall into the trap of confusing the two.
Light positions and gradual scaling are truly the best way to avoid pitfalls, more effective than any technical indicator.
Market logic is actually quite straightforward. BTC's short-term rebound has not been able to effectively break through the top of the consolidation range. Structurally, it’s still a rebound, definitely not a reversal. The daily MACD death cross is still ongoing, and the trend direction has not changed; looking at the hourly level, trading volume has clearly shrunk, a typical divergence between price and volume — the momentum for the rebound is simply insufficient, just a move to push higher in the morning session, creating opportunities for the bears.
BTC faces resistance around the 89,000–90,000 range. Once it rebounds to this level, it’s time to consider short positions. The actual target zone is around 87,500–86,500, which shows traces of previous heavy trading, combined with the weakening rebound volume, making it an ideal high-level shorting point.
The logic for ETH is similar. The resistance zone is at the upper boundary of 2970–3000. If the opportunity arises, consider shorting here. The target is between 2900–2860. The upper channel resistance has not been effectively broken, and the rebound structure itself is incomplete.
In facing the current market, the core principle is not to chase the highs or be driven by emotions. Strict stop-loss, light positions, and gradual deployment. The market provides structure and rhythm; whether you can realize profits depends entirely on whether you trade according to plan, not on getting caught up in the order book. Follow the trend; every rebound is an opportunity to position.