I've been watching the weekly trend of Dogecoin these days, and the more I look, the more interesting it becomes—there's a sense of déjà vu spreading.

Analyst Cryptollica mentioned a view in a TradingView analysis on December 23rd that Dogecoin is repeating the cycle pattern of 2020. Specifically, he marked four key structural points using fractal theory, and the market is currently stuck at the fourth position. This isn't just a simple numerical game; it's a pure morphological recognition—the formation process of this circular bottom now mirrors the accumulation phase on the eve of past bull markets.

Looking back at the previous "boredom phase" makes it clear. Especially the time period in region 2, where volatility nearly zeroed out, but this was precisely the golden period for smart money to quietly accumulate—later becoming the launchpad for the parabolic rally in 2021. Now, the stance presented in region 4, from its shape to rhythm, is replaying the story from back then. The price is consolidating its foundation, and the next big wave is already brewing.

More convincing is the momentum indicator. Looking at the weekly RSI, the 32 level is an all-time bottom—each time the weekly RSI dips here (points 1, 2, 3), it has been accompanied by the formation of a macro bottom. Now, the RSI has precisely returned to this support level, indicating what? Sellers are completely exhausted, and the rebound momentum is gathering strength. A reversal signal is brewing.

Interestingly, this "calm before the storm" is often the easiest to overlook. Most retail investors question when volatility drops; they waver when prices stagnate. But from a fractal perspective, this is exactly how the market quietly accumulates energy. Risks and opportunities often lie in a single thought.

For Dogecoin's current movement, either history is repeating itself, or an exception has occurred. But based on the current technical patterns and momentum indicators, the former seems more probable. At least from a weekly perspective, being prepared is more practical than debating probabilities.